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Sites for betting quite conservatively have listed the usual suspects regarding which teams will win the most and least games in the 2017 NFL season. Even though 10 teams finished last season with 10 wins or more last season, only five are expected to break that mark this year.

Top 5 win totals

New England Patriots (12½). The Pats won 14 games last season, three of them without Tom Brady under center. The last time that the Patriots failed to win at least 10 games was in 2002 (the only time in Bill Belichick’s era), and they have won at least 12 each season since 2010.

Green Bay Packers (10). The Packers have posted at least 10 wins in the last three straight seasons, and in eight of the last 10 years. They finished 8-7-1 in 2013 and 6-10 in 2008. The signing of Martellus Bennett will surely help Green Bay have another 10-win season.

Pittsburgh Steelers (10½). The Steelers have had five seasons of 10 or more wins in the past seven years, including the last three straight, helping them win two of the last three AFC North division titles.

Seattle Seahawks (10½). The ‘Hawks are on a five-season streak of winning at least 10 games, a period during which they have appeared in two Super Bowls and won one.

Oakland Raiders (10). The soon to be Las Vegas Raiders won 12 last season, marking the first time they have broken the double digit mark since 2002. The Raiders should carry the momentum from last season, according to sites for betting.

Bottom 5 win totals

Cleveland Browns (4½). The Browns have won four games three times and five another three since 2008. They hit a franchise nadir with 15 losses last season.

San Francisco 49ers (4½). The Niners have won fewer games each season since they won 12 in 2013; they had eight wins in 2014, five in 2015, and two in 2016. And now they don’t even have Colin Kaepernick to draw attention away from their lousy win-loss record.

New York Jets (5). The Jets’ 10-6 record in 2015 is their best finish in the last six seasons and it was apparently a fluke, as they won only half as many last season, and have not done better than eight since their last playoff trip in 2010.

Chicago Bears (5½). Jay Cutler, we hardly knew ye. The Bears all-time passing leader led the team to one postseason in 2010, but had diminishing returns in his latter seasons. The Bears released him and drafted second pick QB Mitchell Trubisky, but a breakthrough season is not in the offing.

Los Angeles Rams (5½). The Rams’ move back to Los Angeles was not justified by the team’s 2016 record of 4-12, which was actually worse than any of their last five seasons in St. Louis. Regardless of city, though, sites for betting do not consider the Rams to be the best team in the NFC West division – or even the best team in Los Angeles for that matter.

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