New England Patriots (3-11) vs. Denver Broncos (7-7)
Patriots vs. Broncos December 24, 2023 – As NFL Week 16 unfolds, New England Patriots with their struggling record face off with Denver Broncos who boast more balanced records on Sunday in what promises to be an intriguing combination of strategy and athleticism. Patriots fans looking for free football picks today should anticipate an eye-catching contest as they attempt to save their season at Empower Field at Mile High which boasts dynamic atmosphere as well as high altitude conditions.
Patriots vs. Broncos December 24, 2023 Game Info
| When: | Sunday, December 24, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET |
| Where: | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver |
| TV: | NFLN |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Mac Jones, QB vs. Russell Wilson, QB
Mac Jones of the Patriots has endured an up-and-down season. Though completing 64.9% of his passes for 2,120 yards, 12 interceptions have marred his performance; therefore his ability to remain consistent while avoiding turnovers will be key in this high-stakes matchup.
Denver quarterback Russell Wilson stands out with 14 games played and an impressive 67% completion rate, tossing 24 touchdown passes while only throwing 8 interceptions; reflecting an effective command of the field and ability to make big plays that may decide this matchup.
Running Through Challenges: Patriots’ Rushing and Receiving Analysis
Rhamondre Stevenson leads New England’s running game and shows promise despite their team’s overall struggles. Stevenson has amassed 619 yards and four touchdowns through 12 games for New England; his 51.6 average yards per game could play a crucial part in breaking through Denver’s defense. Demario Douglas has been an excellent receiver this season, though without scoring an end zone goal. His 443 receiving yards over 11 games (an average of 40.3 yards per game) demonstrate his significant contributions to the Patriots passing game.
Elevating the Game: Denver’s Offensive Strategy
Denver’s running game is led by Javonte Williams. Amassing 677 yards over 13 games, Williams is a consistent threat averaging 52.1 yards per game – offering valuable first downs that could turn a tight game around. Courtland Sutton has been an instrumental part of Denver Broncos passing offense. Accumulating over 770 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns through 14 games, Sutton’s ability to create big plays and reach the end zone has proven vital for their team.
NFL Betting Odds: Denver Broncos -275, Over/Under: 34
The betting odds favor the Denver Broncos, with a moneyline of -275, reflecting their stronger season performance. The over/under set at 34 points suggests a low-scoring game, a trend consistent with both teams’ recent games.
New England Patriots Betting Trends
New England are 3-14-1 ATS in their last 18 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New England’s last 13 games.
New England are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games.
New England are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.
Patriots are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Denver.
New England are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
Denver Broncos Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver’s last 9 games.
Denver are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
Broncos are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.
Denver are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games when playing at home against New England.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver’s last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.
Denver are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.
New England Patriots vs. Denver Broncos Betting Picks
Given the trends and performances, the Broncos seem to be the safer pick. Their balanced attack and home-field advantage should give them the upper hand against a struggling Patriots team. However, the Patriots’ potential for an upset, especially in a low-scoring affair, should not be underestimated.
For prop bets, focusing on individual player performances like Wilson’s passing yards or Sutton’s receptions could offer value. The over/under seems tight, but given both teams’ trends, leaning towards the UNDER might be prudent.
As America’s top sportsbook analysts suggest, while the Patriots may fight valiantly, the Broncos’ overall consistency and home-field advantage are likely to prevail.
Receiving Yards Prop: Broncos 21, Patriots 13.
