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Denver Broncos (8-8) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (7-9)

Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders January 7, 2024 – In a pivotal NFL Week 18 clash, the Denver Broncos, standing at an even 8-8, are set to visit the Las Vegas Raiders, who are slightly behind with a 7-9 record. This game, crucial for both teams’ season closure, promises to be a tight contest, offering exciting NFL Week 18 betting picks for enthusiasts and analysts alike.

Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders January 7, 2024 Game Info

When: Sunday, January 7, 2024, at 4:25 PM ET
Where: Allegiant Stadium
TV: FOX
Stream: NFL Game Pass

Jarrett Stidham QB vs. Aidan O’Connell QB

Jarrett Stidham will be making his third career start after taking over midseason for the injured Russell Wilson. In his two starts, Stidham has completed 62.5% of his passes for 224 yards, 1 TD and 0 INTs while showing some flashes of potential along with expected inexperience. He has added mobility outside the pocket, able to extend plays with his legs and pick up first downs when passing options aren’t available. Stidham will need to continue to limit turnovers and rely on the run game to take pressure off the passing attack.

Aidan O’Connell has put up solid passing yardage in his first year as a starter, but he has lacked scoring punch and consistency. On the season, O’Connell has completed 61.9% of his throws for 1,974 yards but just 10 touchdowns compared to 7 interceptions. He doesn’t offer much as a running threat either, further putting pressure on his arm talent and decision making. O’Connell has developed a strong connection with WR Davante Adams, targeting him 98 times for 1,098 yards and 7 scores. But against Denver’s talented secondary, O’Connell can’t rely solely on Adams and will need other receivers to step up.

Broncos’ Ground and Air Attack: A Closer Look

Javonte Williams has played an invaluable role in Denver’s offensive strategy thanks to his 742 rushing yards over 15 games with an average 3.6 yards per carry average, helping Denver establish an effective ground game. Williams’ ability to secure first downs and reliability are essential elements for their offensive strategy. Jerry Jeudy has been an outstanding receiver for Denver this season. Amassing 679 receiving yards across 51 receptions at an average 13.3 average yards per catch average, Jeudy adds significant plays and adds dynamic flair to Denver’s passing game.

Raiders’ Offensive Dynamics: Rushing and Receiving Breakdown

Raiders’ offense may not be as potent as some but has had moments of brilliance on offense, particularly among their receiving corps. Davante Adams stands out with 1098 receiving yards from 98 receptions for an 11.2 yards per reception average and 7 touchdowns that demonstrate his importance as a primary target in Raiders passing attack. Zamir White has been Las Vegas’ leading rushing back. While his 339 rushing yards over 16 games may not seem impressive, his 4.3 yards per rush attempt shows his efficiency when needed. While not as visible in their offensive scheme as some backs, White plays an essential part in their offense.

NFL Betting Odds: Las Vegas Raiders -155, Over/Under: 38

The betting odds favor the Las Vegas Raiders, albeit slightly, with a -155 moneyline. The over/under set at 38 points suggests expectations of a relatively low-scoring affair, reflecting both teams’ recent tendencies and the strength of their defenses.

Denver Broncos Betting Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Denver’s last 11 games.

Denver are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games.

Broncos are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Las Vegas.

Denver are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games against Las Vegas.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games on the road.

Denver are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Las Vegas.

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Trends

Las Vegas are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Las Vegas’ last 14 games.

Las Vegas are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Las Vegas’ last 14 games against Denver.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas’ last 9 games at home.

Las Vegas are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Denver.

Denver Broncos vs. Las Vegas Raiders Betting Picks

Considering the current form and historical trends, this matchup leans slightly in favor of the Raiders. Their home field advantage and recent success against the Broncos, especially ATS, make them the safer pick. However, the Broncos’ recent overall form suggests they could upset, making this a potentially close and intriguing game.

From the perspective of USA top sportsbook online, the wise move might be to take the Raiders to cover the spread, but the total going UNDER is also a strong possibility given both teams’ recent scoring trends.

 

Receiving Yards Prop: Raiders 20, Broncos 12. 

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