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Buffalo Bills (6-6) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (8-4)

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs December 10, 2023 – The Buffalo Bills take on the Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday, December 10th at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. This game, a much-anticipated showdown, holds significant playoff implications and will be a key focus for bettors and fans alike, especially those engaged with USA online sportsbooks.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs December 10, 2023 Game Info

When: Sunday, December 10, 4:25 PM ET
Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
TV: CBS
Stream: NFL Game Pass

Josh Allen QB vs. Patrick Mahomes QB

Josh Allen, the Bills’ dynamic quarterback, has been an essential component in their offense. Over 12 games, Allen has posted an impressive 68.1% completion rate while amassing 3,214 passing yards with 24 touchdowns – however his 13 interceptions and 15 sacks show his vulnerability when under pressure. Allen is agile enough to extend plays using his legs but consistency and decision-making in key moments are areas for development.

Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs displays a blend of precision and playmaking ability. Boasting an identical completion rate of 67.8% over 3,127 passing yards, Mahomes has amassed 22 touchdown passes against just 10 interceptions – suggesting better protection and decision-making abilities in the pocket. Mahomes stands out for his visionary skills and pinpoint accuracy that make him an invincible threat against any defense.

Chiefs Rushing Attack vs Bills Run Defense

Kansas City’s ground game has taken a big step forward thanks to the emergence of rookie Isiah Pacheco. Pacheco brings physicality and explosiveness, averaging a respectable 64.9 rushing yards per game and 6 total TDs. The Chiefs will look to control the tempo by feeding Pacheco early.

Buffalo has struggled against the run, allowing 128.2 rushing yards per game on 4.7 yards per carry. They lack size up front and miss LB Tremaine Edmunds who is out with a groin injury. Kansas City will look to exploit this weakness with Pacheco and their RB committee.

Bills Pass Catchers vs Chiefs Pass Defense

Stefon Diggs remains Josh Allen’s go-to target, with a team-high 80.8 receiving yards per game and 8 TDs. His route running, hands, and YAC ability make him a constant threat. Meanwhile, WR Gabe Davis and TE Dawson Knox provide big play potential. This trio faces a Chiefs’ pass defense allowing 227.5 passing yards per game.

Rookie CB Trent McDuffie has been a standout for Kansas City, allowing just 7.4 yards per reception in coverage. Safety Justin Reid also makes plays on the back end. However, the Chiefs can still be beat with precision passing. Allen must put the ball in ideal locations to beat tight coverage.

NFL Betting Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -155, Over/Under: 47

The current betting odds favor the Kansas City Chiefs, with a -155 moneyline, reflecting their strong season performance and home-field advantage. The over/under set at 47 points suggests expectations of a moderately high-scoring game, fitting given the offensive capabilities of both teams. Bettors should consider the Chiefs’ overall consistency and the Bills’ struggle to cover the spread in recent games.

Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

Buffalo are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games.

Buffalo are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

Buffalo are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Kansas City.

Bills are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games against Kansas City.

Buffalo are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 8 games.

Kansas City are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Kansas City’s last 20 games against Buffalo.

Total has gone UNDER in 7 of Kansas City’s last 8 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo.

Kansas City are 12-1 SU in their last 13 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Picks

Considering the statistical trends and performance metrics, the Chiefs appear to be the stronger team, especially when playing at Arrowhead Stadium. Their balanced offense, coupled with a robust defense, gives them an edge over the Bills, who have shown inconsistency in their recent outings. The key for Buffalo will be to exploit any weaknesses in the Chiefs’ defense and maintain a high-scoring offense to cover the spread.

For bettors, the safer pick seems to be backing the Chiefs, especially with their impressive record against AFC teams. Prop bets on individual player performances, particularly on Mahomes and Allen, might offer value given their central roles in their respective offenses. The over/under is a tighter call, but the trends suggest a preference towards the UNDER.

This prediction leans towards the Chiefs securing a win in a closely contested game, with both teams contributing to a moderately high-scoring affair. As always, bettors should consider the latest updates and player conditions before placing their NFL winning picks. Explore the best NFL betting sites for optimal wagering options.

 

Score Predictions: Chiefs 28, Bills 24    

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