Michigan vs. Florida (Peach Bowl) Odds and Expert Predictions

Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl | College Football Playoff Semifinal odds and predictions
  • by Matt Stevens
  • December 25th, 2018
  • Category:

USA sportsbooks establishments favor the Michigan Wolverines by 7 points over the Florida Gators. Michigan was the Big Ten East division co-champion, winning 10 games and dropping two (8-1 in conference play). Furthermore, the Wolvies went 6-6 ATS this season, according to the best online sportsbooks. UM is coming off a 39-62 loss to Ohio State as 4.5-point road faves. This will be Michigan’s second bowl season this year. They lost to South Carolina 19-26 in the Outback Bowl in January.

Florida finished third in the SEC East division with a 9-3 record (5-3 in conference play). The Gators posted an 8-4 ATS record this year. They closed their regular season with a 41-14 win over Florida State as 8.5-point road favorites. This will be Florida’s first bowl game since 2016 when they overcame Iowa 30-3 in the Outback Bowl.

Betting Michigan

“I would say to any recruit or any potential guy who sees what happened in the Ohio State game and is persuaded against coming to Michigan because of that, I would say that alone is a mirage,” defensive end Chase Winovich said. “And you should not be fooled. What we’ve built here and what we’ll continue to build is a powerhouse. That’s the Michigan I’m leaving. A Michigan that’s competitive in its trajectory.” Hopefully Wino will put his money where his mouth is, otherwise the Peach Bowl could be another “mirage.”

But let’s look at some cold, hard numbers. Which is about what we in the online sports betting USA industry care. Starting QB Shea Patterson has 21 TDs and five picks on 2364 passing yards. Nico Collins has six TDs on 552 receiving yards. Karan Higdon has 10 TDs on 1178 rushing yards.

Betting Florida

Starting QB Feleipe Franks has 23 TDs and six picks on passing 2284 yards. He’s completing 58.5% of his passes. Van Jefferson has 439 yards and six TDs on 31 receptions. Lamical Perine and Jordan Scarlett have a total of 10 TDs on 1467 rushing yards. The Gators are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games. And 4-0 ATS in their last four games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. As well as 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after a straight up win. Also 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a cover. Finally, they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games after gaining more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Florida Gators – Peach Bowl Betting Preview

  • Date: December 29
  • Time: 12:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA (Peach Bowl)


Lines from Intertops.eu:

  • FLORIDA    +7 (-130) 51 (-110) +215
  • MICHIGAN -7 (+110) 51 (-110) -255


Betting Trends

  • Michigan is 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record
  • Michigan is 1-5 ATS in their last six non-conference games
  • The over is 7-0 in Michigan’s last seven games against the SEC
  • Florida is 6-2 ATS in their last eight bowl games
  • Florida is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall
  • The over is 7-2 in Florida’s last 9 games against the Big Ten


Our Game Prediction:
Michigan ranks first in rushing yards allowed per game (81.3). Second in passing yards allowed per game (145.9). Twelfth in points allowed per game (17.6). And also first in total yards allowed per game (262.2). This arguably the best defense in college football today. Additionally, the Wolverines’ loss to OSU practically cost them a berth in the Big Ten championship game. Like Jay in Mallrats, Michigan will attack Florida Wolvie-berserk style. Take UM to cover the  USA sportbooks point spread.