Michigan State vs. LSU Sweet 16 USA Betting Sites Odds & Picks
The Michigan State Spartans are six-point favorites over the LSU Tigers in the Sweet Sixteen, per USA sports betting sites. MSU upbraided the Bradley Braves 76-65 in the first round. Since the best online sportsbooks pegged the Spartans as 17.5-point chalk, they did not cover. Notwithstanding which they moved on to the second round. Wherein Michigan State breezed through the Minnesota Golden Gophers 70-50 as 10.5-point faves. LSU held Yale off 79-74 in the first round as seven-point chalk. In the following round the Tigers barely made it against 69-67 against the Maryland Terrapins as three-point favorites. That was LSU’s third straight ATS loss. But even though the Tigers are merely scraping by, they deserve a lot of credit. Especially considering many declared them dead in the water without head coach Will Wade. As it turns out, they are managing to wade through that water well enough.
Michigan State Spartans vs. LSU Tigers
- Date: Friday March 29, 2019
- Time: 3:00 PM (EDT)
- Venue: Capital One Arena Washington, DC
- Line from MyBookie.ag:
|LSU||+6 (-110)||148½ (-110)||+240|
|Michigan State||-6 (-110)||148½ (-110)||-280|
Betting Michigan State
The Spartans’ offense is not really Spartan at all. As a matter of fact, they enjoy practicing largesse. And they believe giving is better than receiving. All of which are just oblique ways to say that MSU scores 78.5 and allow 65.1 points per game. Similarly, Michigan State shoots 48.6% field goal and holds opponents to 37.7% field goal shooting. MSU averages 40.9 rebounds per game, allowing them to score most of their points from close range. Let’s look at some USA sports betting sites trends. The Spartans are 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS in their last seven games, winning by an average of 11.7 points. In addition to that, MSU is 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games overall. 5-2 ATS in their last seven neutral court games. 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after a cover. And 1-4 ATS in their last five NCAA tournament games.
When the Spartans found themselves lagging, Cassius Winston is their go-to guy. And to him they went against Minnesota. “In practice, when we go into a little slump, he’ll literally take the ball, run a play, he’ll find an open look, or he’ll bring it out, go four-low [one-on-one] and get a bucket himself,” sophomore teammate Xavier Tillman said.
The Tigers average a couple more points per game than the Spartans (80.9). However, LSU’s scoring offense is not as efficient as MSU’s. The Tigers allow 72.9 points per game. LSU’s field goal shooting is 45.9%, while their opponents’ is 43%. The Tigers also do the most damage from the two-point range. Thus, it’s no surprise they grab 38.9 boars per game. Speaking of rebounds. Josh Auzenne says interim head coach Tony Benford said that “the key is getting the rebound.” Because both Spartans and Tigers are “good in transition.” Actually, LSU is good in transition. And Michigan State is better.
The Tigers are 7-1 SU and 5-3 ATS in their last eight games. However, they are 0-3 ATS in their last three. Moreover, LSU is 4-1 ATS in their last five games playing Big Ten schools. 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games on neutral courts. And 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games on a Friday.
Pick: In keeping with the metaphor I used above, LSU is treading water. The Tigers may be able to keep their head above said water for a while. However, sooner than later it’ll be like fishing in a barrel for the Spartans. Which is to say that users of USA sports betting sites should take Michigan State and the points.