The best betting sites in USA favor the Kansas City Chiefs over the Houston Texans by 9.5 points, as the spread goes for their AFC Divisional Playoff game at Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri on January 12, 2020 at 2:05 p.m. CST.
AFC Divisional Playoffs: Texans vs. Texans Odds by GTBets
Betting Houston Texans
The Texans won the AFC South for the fourth time in five years with a Week 16 win over Tampa Bay. It’s their sixth overall division title. Houston also posted their second 10-win season under head coach Bill O’Brien. Following a Week 17 loss to the Titans, the Texans failed to match their 11-5 record from last season. They beat the Buffalo Bills in the Wild Card round 22-19 in OT. The Texans entered that game as 2.5-point home favorites, per the best online sportsbooks.
As recorded by the best betting sites, the under is 4-0 in the Texans’ last four road games. The Texans are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games after an ATS win. And 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games on grass.
Starting QB Deshaun Watson went 20 of 25 for 247 yards with one TD and seven sacks against the Bills. Watson also rushed for 55 yards and another TD on 14 carries. Wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins had 90 yards on six receptions. Houston’s defense allowed 425 total yards, 253 passing and 172 rushing. The Texans were lucky, though, that the Bills lost 64 yards on seven penalties. The lone saving grace on defense was, as ever, JJ Watt.
“Deshaun Watson’s performance in big games”, “J.J. Watt’s spark”, Carlos Hyde’s grudge against the Chiefs, and “confidence” are the four reasons that Houston will defeat Kansas City. At least according to this hobbit-looking dude. All very intangible reasons, to a greater or lesser degree.
Betting Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs began the season with a 1-3 home record. Their worst after four home games since 2012. However, they went 4-0 on the road, their best road record after four road games since 2013. The Chiefs clinched the AFC West in Week 14, prolonging their record division title streak to four in a row. They also won their fifth straight playoff appearance. That’s one shy of the franchise record of six straight from 1990–1995. Also, they secured their second straight bye to the Divisional round of the AFC playoffs. Kansas City also finished unbeaten in the AFC West for the second time under head coach Andy Reid. Their record in the AFC West since 2015 is 27-3.
The Chiefs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games after a straight-up win. 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite. And 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games on grass.
Speaking of grudges, Kansas City lost 24-31 to Houston in Week 6 as 3.5-point home faves, according to the best betting sites. Patrick Mahomes and his “underrated memory” can’t have forgotten about that.
AFC Divisional Playoffs: Houston vs. Kansas City Pick
The Chiefs have been notoriously uneven in the past couple of seasons. They have one of the best offenses and one of the worst defenses in the league. Reid’s strategy has been to rely on Mahomes to stay one step or three ahead of the competition. However, KC has improved defensively since the week before their bye (11). They allowed 20 or more points just once in their last six regular-season games. And held opponents to single digits on three of those games. Furthermore, on two of those games, they only allowed a field goal. For the Chiefs, it’s once bitten, twice shy with the Texans. Take Kansas City and the points.