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2018 New Mexico Bowl Betting Analysis: North Texas vs. Utah State

2018 ew Mexico Bowl Betting Odds and Predictions. North Texas Mean Green vs. Utah State Aggies

According to the USA sportsbooks point spread, the Utah State Aggies are nine-point favorites over the North Texas Mean Green. The Aggies finished second in the Mountain West Conference’s Mountain Division. They went 10-2 SU (7-1 in conference play) and 9-3 ATS, according to the best online sportsbooks. They closed their regular season with a 24-33 loss to Boise State as 2.5-point road dogs. This will be Utah State’s seventh bowl appearance in the last eight years, and their second New Mexico Bowl.

The Mean Green finished second in C-USA’s West division, with a 9-3 (5-3 in conference play) record. Additionally, North Texas went 4-8 against the spread during the regular season. They’re coming off a 24-21 win over Texas-San Antonio as 25-point road faves. This will be the Green’s third straight bowl appearance and first New Mexico Bowl.

Betting North Texas

“We are excited to be playing in the New Mexico Bowl against a very good opponent in Utah State,” head coach Seth Littrell said. “Albuquerque is an easy travel destination for our fans and alumni and I know this team is excited to play in front of a national audience on ESPN in the very first bowl game of the season. It will be a tremendous challenge but we are excited to get to work.”

Starting Mason ‘Dixon’ Fine has 27 TDs and just five picks on 311.2 passing yards per game. Fine was named C-USA offensive player of the year for the second straight season. He completes 64.6% of his passes. Passes which frequently go to Rico ‘Suave’ Bussey. He has 12 TDs on 5.7 catches and 84.8 receiving yards per game.

Let’s check some USA sportsbooks trends. The Mean Green are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 non-conference games. And 1-4 ATS in their last five games after a straight up win.

Betting Utah State

Starting QB Jordan Love has thrown 28 TDs and only five picks on 267.3 passing yards per game. His percentage of completion is 65.8. Ron’quavion Tarver, Jalen Greene, and Aaren Vaughns combine for 15 receiving TDs. Darwin Thompson and Gerold Bright have a combined 22 rushing TDs. Utah State may not be a sexy program like Alabama or Clemson. But they do rank 3rd in points per game (47.2) and 18th in passing yards per game (288.8)

The Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.

North Texas Mean Green vs. Utah State Aggies New Mexico Bowl Betting Preview

  • Date: December 15
  • Time: 1:00 p.m. CT
  • Venue: Dreamstyle Stadium, Albuquerque, NM (New Mexico Bowl)

Odds from Intertops.eu:

  • North Texas +9 (-110) 66½ (-110) +290
  • Utah State  -9 (-110) 66½ (-110) -350

Betting Trends

  • North Texas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
  • North Texas is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of North Texas’s last 10 games
  • Utah State is 7-15 ATS in its last 22 games on the road
  • Utah State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Utah State is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games on the road

Our Prediction: The Aggies scored more than 55 points on New Mexico, Hawaii and San Jose State. But then they couldn’t break the 30-point mark against Colorado State and Boise State. It’s safe to say Utah State’s offense is winding down. Additionally, the Aggies will be coached by interim Frank Maile. Former head coach Matt Wells is now Texas Tech’s new head coach. I believe this combination of factors will allow the Green to keep up and remain within the online betting sports spread.