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Tennessee Titans (4-8) vs. Miami Dolphins (9-3)

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins December 11, 2023: The Tennessee Titans take on the Miami Dolphins in an AFC showdown on Monday Night Football for NFL Week 14. The 4-8 Titans have struggled mightily this season and face an uphill battle against the 9-3 Dolphins, one of the best teams in the league. According to the top betting websites, the Dolphins are 11.5-point favorites at home. 

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins December 11, 2023 Game Info

When: Monday, December 11, 8:15 PM ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium
TV: ESPN
Stream: NFL Game Pass

Will Levis QB vs. Tua Tagovailoa QB

Will Levis has completed just 57.8% of his passes in six games started for the Titans this season. He’s averaging a mediocre 211 pass yards per game with 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions while taking 19 sacks. Levis will need to improve his accuracy against a fierce Dolphins pass rush.

Tua Tagovailoa is having an MVP-caliber season so far for Miami. He’s completing 70.1% of his throws for 288 passing yards per game with 24 TDs and 10 INTs. Tua’s accuracy and poise in the pocket have powered Miami’s high-flying offense. He should carve up the Titans secondary.

Struggling Titans Offense Looks to Establish Run Game

Derrick Henry is the heart of Tennessee’s offense, rushing for 841 yards and 8 scores so far. But the bruising back is averaging just 70.1 yards per game. Tennessee must control time of possession by pounding the rock with Henry. DeAndre Hopkins is a top receiving threat but needs more targets after catching 50 balls for 774 yards. Still, the Titans rank just 26th in scoring offense at 17.8 PPG.

Red-Hot Dolphins Offense Led by Tyreek Hill’s Record Pace

Miami’s offense ranks 2nd in the NFL at 26.8 PPG thanks to the dynamic duo of Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle at wide receiver. Hill already has 93 catches for 1,481 yards and 12 TDs, putting him on pace to shatter the single-season receiving record. Raheem Mostert adds balance as an explosive runner with 828 rush yards. This multi-dimensional offense will be extremely tough for Tennessee to slow down.

NFL Betting Odds: Miami Dolphins -650, Over/Under: 43.5

The Dolphins are heavily favored with a Moneyline of -650, reflecting their strong season performance. The spread at -11.5 for Miami and +11.5 for Tennessee suggests a predicted one-sided affair. The over/under is set at 43.5, indicating expectations for a moderately high-scoring game.

Tennessee Titans Betting Trends

Tennessee are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Tennessee’s last 16 games.

Tennessee are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

Tennessee are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on the road.

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Tennessee’s last 14 games when playing on the road against Miami.

Tennessee are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

Miami are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games.

Dolphins are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Miami’s last 20 games against Tennessee.

Miami are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami’s last 14 games when playing at home against Tennessee.

Miami are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Picks

Considering the trends and individual team strengths, the Dolphins appear to be the overwhelming favorites. Their potent offense, led by Tagovailoa and Hill, should capitalize against the Titans’ defense. Betting on Miami to cover the spread seems a sound strategy, although the large spread does pose some risk.

For prop bets, focusing on individual performances like Tagovailoa’s passing yards or Henry’s rushing yards could be intriguing. As for the over/under, the Dolphins’ offensive firepower could push the total score over, despite the Titans’ general trend towards UNDER in their games.

The Dolphins’ offensive strength and solid home record should enable them to comfortably overcome the Titans. For those seeking NFL prediction today, this game presents a clear opportunity to leverage Miami’s strengths against Tennessee’s struggles, especially considering the home-field advantage and current form of both teams.

 

Score Predictions: Dolphins 31, Titans 17     

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