New England Patriots (4-11) vs. Buffalo Bills (9-6)
New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills December 31, 2023 – In an intriguing NFL Week 17 matchup, the struggling New England Patriots face off against the formidable Buffalo Bills. This late-season game, scheduled for Sunday, has the Patriots looking to upset the Bills, who are aiming to solidify their playoff position. With differing motivations and dynamics, this clash is a highlight for anyone following NFL picks today.
New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills December 31, 2023 Game Info
| When: | Sunday, December 31, 2023, at 1:00 PM ET |
| Where: | Highmark Stadium |
| TV: | CBS |
| Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Mac Jones QB vs. Josh Allen QB
Mac Jones has struggled to replicate his rookie success this season. After showing glimpses of promise with 22 touchdowns and a 92.5 passer rating last season, Jones’ performance has significantly declined with only 2,120 yards passed and 10 touchdowns to 12 interceptions (complete percentage is 64.9% and averages only 6.1 yards per attempt). Furthermore, Jones has taken 22 sacks while also fumbling 9 times, leading him near the bottom of most passing categories; thus slowing the Patriots offense into scoring just 17.2 points per game as a result.
Meanwhile, Bills quarterback Josh Allen continues to emerge as one of the most dangerous dual-threat QBs in football. His combination of elite arm talent and mobility has unleashed an dynamic Buffalo offense. Allen has already racked up 3,778 passing yards and 27 touchdowns through 15 games, on pace to set new career highs. He’s also added 309 yards and 7 more scores as a rusher, using his 6’5″ 237 lb frame to bulldoze defenders. Allen is averaging 292 total yards and 2.5 total touchdowns per outing. He has showcased precision passing ability along with off-script playmaking talent. With Allen operating at an MVP level, the Bills have fielded a top-5 scoring offense averaging 28.2 points per game.
Patriots’ Offensive Dynamics
The Patriots’ offense has had some strong moments this season, particularly their rushing game led by Rhamondre Stevenson who has amassed 619 yards and four touchdowns through 12 games. However, their overall insufficient offensive output has limited their ability to sustain drives and score consistently. Demario Douglas has been an effective target in the Patriots receiving corps, amassing 517 yards over 12 games. However, his lack of touchdowns highlights their team’s struggle converting plays into points against an aggressive Bills offense.
Buffalo’s Offensive Strength
Buffalo’s offense, on the other hand, has been more dynamic and effective. Running back James Cook racked up 1038 rushing yards and two touchdowns over 15 games to provide a solid ground game and supplement their aerial attack. Stefon Diggs has been an outstanding performer, catching 96 passes for 1070 yards and eight touchdowns this season. His ability to create separation and make big plays has proven vital for Allen as they face difficult situations in key situations.
NFL Betting Odds: Buffalo Bills -700, Over/Under: 40
The betting odds heavily favor the Bills, indicated by their -700 moneyline and a -12.5 point spread. The over/under at 40 points suggests expectations of a moderate scoring game. These odds reflect the Bills’ offensive strength and the Patriots’ struggles throughout the season.
New England Patriots Betting Trends
New England are 4-14-1 ATS in their last 19 games.
Patriots are 4-12 SU in their last 16 games.
New England are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Buffalo.
New England are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Buffalo.
Patriots are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games on the road.
New England are 16-4 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Buffalo.
Buffalo Bills Betting Trends
Buffalo are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo’s last 8 games.
Buffalo are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games against New England.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo’s last 6 games at home.
Buffalo are 4-16 SU in their last 20 games when playing at home against New England.
New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Picks
Given the trends and team performances, the Bills are favored to win. However, the Patriots’ historical success in Buffalo and the large point spread could make New England an attractive underdog bet. The under on the total points might be a smart play, considering both teams’ recent under trends.
For those interested in Americas Legal Betting Sites, prop bets on key players like Allen and Diggs could offer value. The Patriots’ challenge will be to keep the game close, leveraging their historical road success against Buffalo.
Receiving Yards Prop: Bills 25, Patriots 14.
