Green Bay Packers (6-6) vs. New York Giants (4-8)
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants December 11, 2023 – The Green Bay Packers take on the New York Giants in a week 14 NFC matchup with major playoff implications. In a crowded NFC playoff race, both teams need a win to stay in contention. Our NFL betting sites week 14 free picks analysis breaks down the odds and predictions for Monday night’s game. With the game being broadcast on ABC, both teams are looking to make a statement in this late-season clash.
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants December 11, 2023 Game Info
When: | Monday, December 11, 8:15 PM ET |
Where: | MetLife Stadium |
TV: | ABC |
Stream: | NFL Game Pass |
Jordan Love QB vs. Daniel Jones QB
Jordan Love has shown growth in his second year as a starter, putting up respectable numbers with 2866 passing yards, 22 TDs and a 90.2 rating. While he’s prone to mistakes with 10 interceptions, Love has led Green Bay to wins in 4 of their last 5. His chemistry with top receiver Jayden Reed continues to improve.
Replacing the injured Daniel Jones, backup QB Davis Webb has struggled since taking over the starter job. In just 6 games, Webb has a 70.5 rating with 909 passing yards, 2 TDs and 6 costly interceptions. Working behind a poor offensive line, Webb has taken 30 sacks and lacks weapons in the passing attack.
Green Bay’s Edge in Rushing and Receiving
With AJ Dillon emerging as the lead back, the Packers have found consistency in their ground game. Dillon averages a solid 43.4 rushing yards per game as an every down grinder who can wear down defenses. Explosive receiver Jayden Reed has become Love’s favorite weapon, using his speed to rack up 12.8 yards per catch and 42.8 receiving yards per game.
Giant’s One-Man Show in Barkley
Dynamic playmaker Saquon Barkley is the centerpiece of New York’s offense. In just 9 games, he averages 77.4 rushing yards per game with his shifty running style. As both a runner and receiver, Barkley accounts for 36% of the Giants’ scrimmage yards. With a lack of other weapons, opposing defenses often key in on stopping Barkley with extra attention.
NFL Betting Odds: Green Bay Packers -270, Over/Under: 38
The Packers are clear favorites with a Moneyline of -270, while the Giants are underdogs at +220. The spread is set at -5.5 for Green Bay and +5.5 for New York, indicating a predicted Packers’ dominance. The total points over/under is set at a modest 38, reflecting expectations of a potentially lower-scoring game.
Green Bay Packers Betting Trends
Green Bay are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
Packers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
Green Bay are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay’s last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Giants.
Green Bay are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay’s last 5 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference East division.
New York Giants Betting Trends
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Giants’ last 10 games.
NY Giants are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Giants’ last 11 games against Green Bay.
Total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants’ last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Giants’ last 7 games when playing at home against Green Bay.
NY Giants are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
Green Bay Packers vs. New York Giants Betting Picks
This matchup seems tilted towards the Packers, given their overall performance and the Giants’ struggles. However, the Giants’ strong defensive showing at home could make for a closer game than the odds suggest. Betting on the Packers to cover the spread might be a logical choice, but considering the Giants’ trend of low-scoring home games, the UNDER on total points also seems appealing.
Prop bets on individual performances, like Love’s passing yards or Barkley’s rushing yards, could offer additional betting opportunities. Given the contrasting trends of both teams, this game presents a challenging but potentially rewarding scenario for bettors.
With the Packers superior overall performance and the Giants’ offensive struggles, the Packers are poised to take this game. For bettors looking to capitalize on this matchup, exploring America’s legal betting sites could provide valuable insights and odds for this intriguing NFL Week 14 game.