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Miami Dolphins (11-6) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (11-6)

Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs January 13, 2024 – Miami Dolphins will face Kansas City Chiefs with 11-6 records in an AFC Wild Card matchup that promises to be thrilling on Saturday. Not just a game; this clash promises to be an intense showdown between strength and strategy that draws millions to America’s premier betting sites. Both teams will meet up at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium for this spectacular matchup that promises to be one of the highlights of NFL playoffs.

Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs January 13, 2024 Game Info

When: Saturday, January 13, 2024, at 8:00 PM ET
Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
TV: PEAC
Stream: NFL Game Pass

Tua Tagovailoa QB vs. Patrick Mahomes QB

Tua Tagovailoa of the Dolphins has been a revelation this season, leading them to victory with 388 completions out of 560 attempts and an incredible 69.3% completion rate. He averaged 8.3 yards per pass over 272 yard games thrown and 29 touchdowns to 14 interceptions; boasting an incredible passer rating of 101.1 while being sacked 29 times! Tagovailoa’s precision and ability to read defenses proved crucial to their victory this year.

On the other side, Patrick Mahomes of the Chiefs remains an outstanding force. Mahomes completed 672 out of 797 attempts (67.2%) this season for 4183 passing yards at an average 7 yards per pass and 261.4 average per game; throwing 27 touchdowns while compiling 14 interceptions but maintaining an impressive 92.6 passer rating; his longest pass this season reached 67 yards, and 27 times was sacked upon.

Dolphins’ Dynamic Offense: Rushing and Receiving

Raheem Mostert’s ground game has been nothing short of incredible this season for the Dolphins; with 209 attempts he amassed 1012 yards at an average 4.8 yard carry rate, scoring 18 touchdowns while also providing reliable red zone threat capabilities. Meanwhile Tyreek Hill was outstanding, amassing 1799 receiving yards by making 119 receptions out of 171 targets at 15.1 average yards per catch with his longest reception coming in at 78 yards, landing 13 touchdowns demonstrating why he deserves top tier wide receiver status.

Chiefs’ Offensive Prowess: Ground and Air Attack

The Kansas City Chiefs’ offense employs its own arsenal. Isiah Pacheco has been an outstanding force on offense; over 14 games, he rushed for 935 yards on 205 attempts at an average 4.6 yard per carry while scoring seven touchdowns, showing his potency as a ground threat. Receiving end Justin Watson led by making 27 catches from 53 targets totalling 460 yards at an average 17 yard catch average; Watson has become an integral component of their dynamic attack strategy and contributed significantly towards making him indispensable on offense.

NFL Betting Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -195, Over/Under: 44

The current betting odds slightly favor the Chiefs, with a moneyline of -195 and a spread of -3.5. The over/under is set at 44, reflecting expectations of a high-scoring game. Considering both teams’ offensive capabilities, the over seems like a tempting bet, especially given the Dolphins’ trend of going over in 12 of their last 16 road games.

Miami Dolphins Betting Trends

Dolphins are 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games.

Miami are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Kansas City.

The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami’s last 16 games on the road.

Miami are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Kansas City.

Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

Miami are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games played in January.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City’s last 5 games.

Kansas City are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 5 games at home.

Kansas City are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing at home against Miami.

Chiefs are 15-3 SU in their last 18 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference conference.

Kansas City are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference East division.

Miami Dolphins vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Picks

Considering the data, the Chiefs appear to be the safer bet, especially given their strong home record and historical advantage over the Dolphins. However, Miami’s explosive offense, led by Tagovailoa and Hill, cannot be underestimated. For those looking for free NFL Wild Card top picks today, a bet on the over seems promising, given both teams’ offensive firepower.

This prediction reflects both teams’ strengths and vulnerabilities, with the Chiefs having a slight edge at home. However, expect a close and high-scoring affair, making the over a compelling bet.

 

Receiving Yards Prop: Chiefs 30, Dolphins 27. 

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