Virginia Tech vs. Virginia NCAAF Betting Analysis and Predictions

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Tennessee Volunteers Week 2 Odds and Picks
  • by Cooper Mayer
  • November 26th, 2019
  • Category:

The Virginia Tech Hokies are field-goal road favorites over the Virginia Cavaliers, as the legal betting sites spread goes for their NCAAF Commonwealth Cup game on November 29 at 12:00 p.m. ET at Scott Stadium, in Charlottesville, VA.

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia Cavaliers Odds by MyBookie.ag

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Virginia Tech -3 (-110) 47½ (-110 -150
Virginia +3 (-110) 47½ (-110) +130
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Betting Virginia Tech Hokies

The Hokies have won their last three and covered in their last five straight games, according to the best online sportsbooks. Last Saturday they shut out Pittsburgh 28-0 as 3.5-point home faves. It was the second consecutive game VT’s 33rd-ranked scoring defense (22.3 ppg) allows zero points. Additionally, the Hokies run defense (24th, 118.1 ypg) held Pittsburgh to just 60 yards on the ground.

On offense, starting QB Hendon ‘TJ’ Hooker went 10 of 13 for 153 yards with two TDs. Tayvion Robinson had 106 all-purpose yards, 74 receiving and 32 rushing. As hinted above, Virginia Tech’s strength lies on defense, though. They rank 35th in total defense (347.9 yards allowed per game).

Here are some legal betting sites trends. The Hokies are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after a straight up win of more than 20 points. 44-19-2 ATS in their last 65 games after gaining fewer than 275 total yards in their previous game. And 2-5 ATS in their last seven games after gaining fewer than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

“We certainly face a daunting challenge with Virginia. They are playing well in all three phases of the game. Joe Reed on kickoff return has been fantastic this year. Bryce Perkins is running and throwing the ball with accuracy and confidence and defensively they continue to do a great job mixing up looks, causing problems for other offenses.

Our guys certainly understand what’s at stake here. We certainly understand the rivalry and we’ll need a great week of preparation as we move forward,” head coach Justin Fuente said.

Betting Virginia Cavaliers

The Cavs are coming off their third straight win, a 55-27 rout of Liberty. Per legal sports betting sites odds, UVA entered that game as 16-point home chalk. Virginia, which averages 33.2 points per game (36th), has scored over 30 points in four of their last five games. Starting QB Bryce Perkins went 18 of 30 for 199 yards with two TDs. Backup Brennan Armstrong added 73 yards.

Running back PK Kier rushed for 82 yards and one TD on 10 carries. The Cavs’ pass defense ranks 39th in the country (204.4 yards allowed per game). However, they allowed Liberty an uncharacteristic 313 passing yards. Conversely, UVA’s 25th-ranked run defense (118.8 ypg) held the Flames to just 79 rushing yards.

The Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games playing a team with a winning road record. 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 home games. And 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing over 280 yards passing in their previous game.

“About a month ago [head coach Bronco] Mendenhall decided he wouldn’t shave until his team loses. Mendenhall told his players a month ago these final four games of the regular season are like the playoffs. “The beard stays as long as we’re winning,” he said. “I think Holly has mixed feelings. It’s just fun. There’s no real significance other than just one more thing to celebrate the successes of our team. I thought that was the right way to frame the finish of our year. With a chance to get to the Coastal championship each game became even more important than the next and the players have taken it that way.”

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Virginia Cavaliers NCAAF Game Pick

Last season Virginia came really close to ending 15 years of Virginia Tech dominance in their rivalry. This could be the year they finally get the job done. And get it done by at least four points.