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UFC 269 Main Card Best: Charles Oliveira vs. Dustin Poirier Lines, Analysis & Picks (12/11/2021)

UFC 269 Betting Odds, Analysis and Expert Predictions

Top UFC sportsbooks favor the challenger when Charles Oliveira defends his belt against erstwhile interim champion Dustin Poirier. This match will be the main event at UFC 269 from T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, on December 11.

Charles Oliveira vs. Dustin Poirier Odds by MyBookie

Oliveira1½ ( -180 )+142
Poirier1½ ( +155 )-162
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Betting Charles Oliveira

Oliveira is the underdog at the best online sportsbooks. If you are looking only at his latest outings, that Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira is an underdog is surprising. That is, if we consider that he has won nine straight.

That includes eight stoppages. He also won the championship. However, the plus odds for the Brazilian are par for the course. He has been the underdog in two of his past three fights. He was only a slight -130 fave the night he won the title at UFC 262.

Oliveira hasn’t had too many problems on his feet during his winning streak. He didn’t face any strikers on Poirier’s level, though, during that period. Moreover, Chandler almost dropped him with a big right. He was knocked out four times earlier in his career (Paul Felder, Max Holloway, Donald Cerrone, and Cub Swanson), so it can be done.

Betting Dustin Poirier

‘Screech’ is favored by top sportsbooks. Only once in Poirier’s last five bouts has he been more a heavier favorite than he is in this matchup with Oliveira. Following a loss to Khabib Nurmagomedov for the strap at UFC 242, he fought Dan Hooker as -250 chalk. He won by unanimous decision.

Poirier has a lot of power. Four of his last six wins have been by KO/TKO. The two wins that weren’t took place against Dan Hooker and Holloway in a couple of 25-minute battles in which Poirier landed 131 significant strikes to Hooker’s head and 153 to Holloway’s.

These are two fighters who have been in the UFC for at least a decade. They have had some peaks and valleys. They are now bringing it all home at a championship stage. Oliveira made his promotional debut in 2010.

He was 20 years old. The story was that he lacked the mental fortitude to return from a bad round. However, he displayed resiliency when he won the title. He had a rough first round. But he came out in the second and knocked his opponent out in 19 seconds.

Charles is very technical standing up and on the mat. He has the most submissions in UFC history (14). That is three more than Demian Maia. He also has knocked out three of his past five opponents.

The Diamond is a very well-balanced fighter. He should have the edge standing up on the feet and as far as durability is concerned. But if Oliveira goes for a takedown, Poirier has a guillotine choke that almost finished off Khabib Nurmagomedov.

Charles Oliveira vs. Dustin Poirier UFC 269 Pick

This is a tough one. One can see either man coming out victorious. Poirier has been kicking ass and taking names. He stopped Conor McGregor not once but two times. He outboxed Max Holloway in five rounds. And he danced with Nurmagomedov and lived to tell the tale.

On the other hand, Oliveira has been running roughshod in the lightweight division. He has always been a guy with the arsenal to become the champion. It looks like he’s finally realizing his potential. We believe that the betting public at the top sportsbooks is going to side with Poirier.
We also think that Oliveira is going to turn this into a grueling fight wherein both men will have their moments. However, if Da Bronx can remain mentally strong, he may just get the win. Oliveira by submission