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UFC 258 Betting: Gilbert Burns vs. Kamaru Usman Odds, Pick and Analysis

UFC 258 Betting: Gilbert Burns vs. Kamaru Usman Odds

The best offshore gambling sites favor Kamaru Usman to retain the welterweight title versus challenger Gilbert Burns in the main event of UFC 258, an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship. It will take place on February 13, 2021 at the UFC Apex facility in Las Vegas, Nevada, United States.

Kamaru “The Nigerian Nightmare” Usman and Gilbert “Durinho” Burns were slated to headline UFC 251 on July 11. However, Burns tested positive for COVID-19. The fight was rescheduled for more than seven months later. Now the two will rendezvous at UFC 258 on February 13.

MyBookie.ag UFC 258 Betting Odds

Gilbert Burns+240
Kamaru Usman-280

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Betting Burns

Durinho is the underdog according to the best online sportsbooks. This is par for the course for Burns. Durinho has been the dog, although not by much, in half of his four fights since transitioning from the lightweight to the welterweight division in August 2019.

He has cashed in all four of those welterweight matches. That includes his most recent bout as a +150 underdog to former champion Tyron Woodley in May in a lopsided win. Durinho used to be known as a high-level submission artist more than anything else.

But he has displayed more of his striking and power recently. Three of his last eight wins have been by KO and only one by submission. He also pounded Woodley a few times on his way to a decision win.

It feels like the major change he made was starting out a bit more aggressively. As well as throwing caution to the wind to a certain extent. His striking may not be impeccable, but when he fires his hooks in the pocket, he can do a lot of damage. At longer range, his kicks are also solid.

Betting Usman

Usman is favorite at the best offshore gambling sites. Seeing minus odds side to side with the champ’s name is hardly news. He has closed as the fave in 10 of his 11 UFC fights. The only time Usman has been the dog was at UFC 235 in March 2019.

He fought Tyron Woodley for the belt. Usman was dominant from bell to bell. The -275 line is not too far removed from where he was in his two championship defenses versus Colby Covington (-225) and Jorge Masvidal (-260).

The Nigerian Nightmare has grown in front of our very eyes in his UFC stint. He initially broke into the biz purely as a wrestler, scoring one takedown after another. And landing 17 in his first three outings in the Octagon. Then, we saw his work with striking in the gym pay dividends.

He KO’d Sergio Moraes. Dissected Woodley. And picked up a fifth-round KO on Colby Covington in December 2019. “All in all, it came to a point where certain points in your career, you need certain things to be able to grow,” Usman said. “Over time, I felt like I needed a little something. I needed a little more. It’s kind of tough to get that when you’re on a team with 30 guys and your coaches are gone every other week, mid-week. It makes it tough for you to get that personal attention that you need to get in order to stay on top”.

Gilbert Burns vs. Kamaru Usman UFC 258 Pick

Burns looked great against Woodley. But Usman will presumably actually fight back. This may work to Burns’s advantage. He will have more chances to hit heavy shots. It also could affect him negatively as far as cardio. Not to mention fighting off his back foot.

It is not clear whether Usman will look for a takedown. Burns’ BJJ is off the chain but standing his striking is a tad tighter and cleaner. This should get him the win. Prediction for users of the best offshore gambling sites: Kamaru Usman by decision.