Sunday Night Football Picks NFL Week 12 – Chiefs vs. Broncos
The Sunday Night betting game on NBC this week has the Kansas City Chiefs visiting the Denver Broncos. It is a battle for second in the AFC West as both teams are 7-3 and a game behind the Oakland Raiders. This is expected to be a low scoring game as the total at online sportsbooks is 39.5, the lowest number of any game on the board in Week 12. Let’s look at the contest and Sunday Night NFL picks.
The Chiefs visit the Broncos on Sunday, November 27th with a start time of 8:30 pm Eastern on NBC.
NFL Odds at Sportsbooks Online
Broncos -3, total 39.5
Chiefs at Broncos
The Chiefs had won five in a row until losing last week at home vs. Tampa Bay. The Chiefs have been winning thanks to a great defense because their offense doesn’t do a whole lot. Kansas City is scoring about 22 points per game while they are giving up just over 18 per contest. Last week the Chiefs had the ball inside the 10-yard line of the Bucs a number of times but they failed to convert all of their trips into points. The interception thrown by Alex Smith was a big reason why Kansas City lost.
Kansas City’s defense appears to be getting worn down as they allowed the Bucs to move up and down the field last week and the previous two opponents, Jacksonville and Carolina also had success moving the ball. The big reason the Chiefs win is that they have the best turnover mark in the league at +13. Kansas City has the second-most points in the league off takeaways.
The Broncos are 7-3 SU and ATS and they are 4-1 ATS at home. The Broncos are scoring about 24 points per game and allowing 19 per contest. Denver hasn’t been anything special on totals with five games going over and five going under.
Denver has had a week off to get ready for this game as they are coming off their bye. They should have the edge playing at home in what will be a key AFC West matchup.
The Chiefs are 5-2 ATS at top betting sites in their last 7 games in November. The Broncos are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall. The Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. the AFC West.
Looking at the total at sportsbooks online, the Under is 4-1 in the Chiefs last 5 road games. The Under is 4-1-1 in the Chiefs last 6 games in November. The Under is 7-2-2 in the last 11 meetings and the Under is 3-0-2 in the last 5 meetings in Denver.
Sunday Night NFL Picks
Neither of these two offenses inspires much confidence as the two quarterbacks are Alex Smith and Trevor Siemian. Both defenses have been excellent this season so this should be a game that goes under the total at top sportsbooks.