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Sugar Bowl Odds & Picks: Ole Miss Rebels vs. Baylor Bears Betting Insights

Sugar Bowl betting, odds analysis and predictions
  • by Andrew Scofield
  • December 27th, 2021
  • Category:

Top sports betting sites have their odds ready for when the Baylor Bears and the Ole Miss Rebels play in the Sugar Bowl in college football action from the Caesars Superdome.

Sugar Bowl Ole Miss Rebels vs. Baylor Bears Odds

TeamSP/RLTOTALML
Baylor+1½ ( -110 )55 ( -110 )+102
Mississippi-1½ ( -110 )55 ( -110 )-122
Bet Now on this Game

Betting Baylor Bears

The Baylor Bears head into this bowl game as representatives of the Big 12 and the conference champions. They went 11-1 in the regular season. They took down Oklahoma State in the conference championship game 21-16.

Gerry Bohanon has passed for 2,160 yards, 17 TDs and six picks on 64.3% completion. Abram Smith has a team-best 1.366 rushing yards and 12 TDs. Trestan Ebner has run 748 yards. Tyquan Thornton has a team-best 55 catches for 875 yards and eight TDs.

R.J. Sneed has 555 receiving yards and seven touchdowns. Ben Sims and Drew Estrada have 300+ receiving yards apiece. Terrel Bernard has a team-best 76 total tackles and five sacks. JT Woods has three interceptions and Gabe Hall has five sacks.

According to the best online sportsbooks, Baylor is 9-3 ATS in their past 12 games. The total has gone UNDER in five of Baylor’s last six games. Baylor is 7-1 SU in their last eight games. Bears are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games this season. Baylor is 7-1 SU in their last eight games played on a Saturday. The total has gone UNDER in five of Baylor’s last seven games played on a Saturday when on the road.

Betting Ole Miss Rebels

The Ole Miss Rebels head into this game representing the SEC. They went 10-2 in the regular season. Matt Corral has passed for 3,339 yards, 20 touchdowns and four picks on 68.4% completion. He has also run for 597 rushing yards and 11 scores this season.

Jerrion Ealy leads the team in rushing with 703 rushing yards and five TDs. Snoop ‘Doggy Dog’ Conner has 605 rushing yards with a team-best 13 TDs. Henry Parrish Jr. Has run for 542 yards. Dontario Drummond leads the team in receiving yards with 924 on 67 catches and eight TDs.

Braylon Sanders has 512 receiving yards this season. Two more Rebel players have at least 300 receiving yards and another three have 200 or more receiving yards. Chance Campbell leads the team with 99 total tackles and six sacks. Sam Williams leads the team with 12.5 sacks. AJ Finley has a team-best three interceptions.

Per top sports betting sites, Mississippi is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games. The total has gone UNDER in seven of Mississippi’s last seven games. Mississippi is 7-1 SU in their last eight games. The total has gone UNDER in five of Mississippi’s last five games this season.

Mississippi is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference. Mississippi is 6-0 SU in their last six games played in January. The total has gone UNDER in six of Mississippi’s last six games played on a Saturday. Mississippi is 9-0 SU in their last nine games played on a Saturday when playing at home.

Ole Miss Rebels vs. Baylor Bears Sugar Bowl Pick

It’s hard for users of top sports betting sites not to back the Bears considering how good Dave Aranda’s defense is. But the Bears haven’t faced anything like Matt Corral and this Rebels offense, even in the Big 12.

The Rebels are no strangers to scoring 50 or more points in any given game, and there is no reason that this one will should be an exception. We just don’t see Baylor having the firepower to go score for score with Ole Miss. Take the Rebels.