Preliminary Card UFC 254 Betting Analysis, Top Picks and Odds
Top UFC betting sites have made up their minds concerning who they favor in the preliminary card of UFC 254, an upcoming MMA event produced by the UFC that will occur on October 24, 2020, at the Flash Forum on Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.
Tai Tuivasa vs. Stefan Struve Odds By BetUS
Struve is the slight favorite according to the best online sportsbooks. However, he’s lost four of his last five fights. That includes his last outing which was 10 months ago. Struve lost by TKO in the second round to Ben Rothwell. 26 of his 29 professional wins have been by stoppage. And 18 via submission. He’s 2-3 when he has gone the distance.
Tai Tuivasa has lost three consecutive fights. His last bout happened a year ago. He lost by submission in the second round to Sergey Spivak. Eight of his nine professional wins have been by TKO/KO. He’s 1-1 when he has gone the distance. Struve is 4-7 in his last 11 UFC fights. He basically riding off into the sunset. He no longer is a Top 15 fighter, but more of a stepping stone for up-and-comers. But Tuivasa isn’t a shoo-in either. He has issues of his own inside the octagon
Tai Tuivasa vs. Stefan Struve Pick
This fight will finish within the distance. someone will be TKO’d or KO’d. It will go Over 1.5 rounds. Struve’s last five losses have all gone beyond that mark. Tuivasa’s last four fights have done likewise. Tuivasa still has KO power, whereas Struve does not. The latter’s best shot is to take the fight to the ground and get a submission. But it’s hard to see him surviving the battle on his feet long enough for this to take place. The best value is Tuivasa winning by TKO/KO. Eight of his nine professional wins have been by knockout and as many of Struve’s 12 losses have been by TKO/KO.
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Alex Oliveira Odds
This bout was initially scheduled for Elizeu Zaleski to face Shavkat Rakhmonov. But Zaleski had to withdraw because of injury and Alex Oliveira signed on two weeks’ notice. Shavkat Rakhmonov is making his promotional debut this weekend. He hasn’t fought since June 2019. The former M1 welterweight champ is undefeated in his career. He has won all 12 of his professional fights by stoppage with seven coming by TKO/KO. He has never gone the distance in a professional fight.
Oliveira is a seasoned veteran on a two-fight winning streak. He last competed in July and beat Peter Sobotta by unanimous decision. 17 of his 22 professional wins have been by stoppage with 12 coming by TKO/KO. He’s 5-3-1 when he has gone the distance.
Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Alex Oliveira Pick
This one is a toss-up. Oliveira is tough, durable, and experienced. Rakhmonov is not likely to get a finish in this bout. Shavkat does have potential and users of top UFC betting sites should not rule out an upset. Rakhmonov will outwork Oliveira and hit a higher volume of strikes. That should help him get a decision win. Cowboy’s last two losses have been by decision to Dalby and Perry. The best value is Rakhmonov’s moneyline. If you are wary of picking a winner, go with the Over 2.5 rounds.
Sam Alvey vs. Da Un Jung Odds
Sam Alvey’s time in the UFC is running out and top UFC betting sites’ odds reflect that. The 34-year-old has lost four consecutive fights. He is 10-9 overall in the octagon. His last match was in May and he lost by split decision to Ryan Spann. 22 of his 33 professional wins have been by stoppage with 19 by TKO/KO. Alvey is 11-10 when he has gone the distance.
Jung made his promotional debut 14 months ago. He won by submission in the third round over Khadis Ibragimov. He has won 12 consecutive fights. That includes both of his visits to the octagon. He last competed in December. He won by KO in the first round.
Sam Alvey vs. Da Un Jung Pick
Jung wins by TKO or KO.