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Patriots vs. Vikings NFL Betting Thanksgiving Odds and Analysis

Minnesota Vikings NFL Season Betting Lines, Schedule and expert analysis
  • by Andrew Scofield
  • November 23rd, 2022
  • Category:

The Vikings were initially a 3.5-point favorite, but early betting action on the New England Patriots moved the point spread to as low as 2.5 points at some online sportsbooks by Monday night. The total also happened to go below 42 points after the two offenses underperformed on Sunday.

The Minnesota Vikings (8-2 SU, 4-5-1 ATS) had a 7-game winning streak snapped last week against the Dallas Cowboys. The Vikes lost at home by a margin of 37 points. Minnesota will face yet another stiff defense this week in the form of the New England Patriots (6-4, 6-3-1). They have held their last two foes to just 3 points scored.

New England Patriots vs. Minnesota Vikings Odds by MyBookie.ag

Patriots+3 ( -110 )42 ( -110 )+135
Vikings-3 ( -110 )42 ( -110 )-160

Betting New England

The Patriots are road dogs of less than a field goal at the best online sportsbooks. There may not be a better defense in the league right now than that of New England. They would allow just three points Sunday for the second week in a row. The Pats held the Jets to 103 total yards in their thrilling 10-3 win that was decided by a Marcus Jones game-winning 84-yard punt return in the last seconds.

However, although the Pats have been the winners in five of their past six games, and they have covered the point spread six of seven, there are big concerns around Mac Jones and the New England offensive attack.

The Patriots have scored just 2 offensive touchdown scores in Jones’ last 3 starts. They have struggled in the end zone all season long. They have reached the red zone on just 12 of their last 28 trips within the opposition’s 20-yard line.

Their defense can keep New England competitive, but the Patriots are going to need a lot more from an offensive attack that is scoring on average fewer than 20 points per game in the last month. That could the case against a Vikings secondary that has surrendered the second-most passing yards through the air in the league this season.

Betting Minnesota

After they gave up 7 sacks last week against Dallas, the Vikes are going to need their offensive line to do a much better job of protecting Kirk Cousins from a solid New England pass rush. If they manage to give Cousins enough time to pass the ball, Minnesota does have the offensive prowess to pull away for a cozy victory.

Even though they held a four-game lead on top of the NFC North division and sat second in the conference with a record of 8-2 SU straight up, the Vikings actually have been out-scored on the year after last week’s crushing 40-3 loss at home to Dallas. Kirk Cousins was at the receiving end of the most sacks in his career-high with seven. That includes a strip-sack TO on his very first dropback.

Minnesota went on to finish the game with just 183 total yards of offense. That is its worst total yards in more than two seasons. The defense did not fare much better. They allowed Cowboys running backs Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard to score two touchdowns apiece. Pollard’s two touchdown scores took place through the air. That includes a 68-yard catch.

New England Patriots vs. Minnesota Vikings NFL Pick

According to online sportsbooks, New England is 3-0-1 ATS in their last four road games and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. The under is 7-2 in their last nine games in the month of November. Minnesota is 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games overall and 45-21 ATS in their last 66 games after a loss. The over is 6-0 in their last six games after a double-digit loss at home.

We get the case that is to be made for the Vikings in this here football game. They will be poised to get the bad taste off their mouths from the defeat to the Dallas Cowboys. However, this football game is setting the stage for Not Ready For Prime Time Kirk Cousins.

That is not good news for the Vikes. Cousins has had throuble under the lights for the entirety of his career. New England is by no means the flashiest of offenses as we witnessed against the Jets, but the defense continues to find ways to pick up the slack. We think they can come up with a way to keep this game competitive and maybe even win it outright. Take the points and New England here.