The New England Patriots are massive road faves against the Buffalo Bills, according to sportsbook sites. How massively do the best online sportsbooks favor the Pats? Let’s just say the Bills better start praying to St. Jude, patron saint of lost causes and desperate situations. Because they need a miracle they’re not likely to get. Tom Brady has beaten Buffalo more times (28) than any other QB has defeated any other team. New England has averaged 36 points and 338 passing yards in their last six trips to New Era Field. Additionally, the Pats are averaging 39.2 points per game in their current four-game winning streak. As for the Bills, they’re so bad the Colts of all teams blew them out 5-37. However, Buffalo is 6-2 in eight MNF games since 1989. While New England has lost three straight MNF road games.
Betting Patriots
Tom Brady has recorded a passer rating of at least 94.2 in each of the last four games. He’ll have no shortage of targets with Rob Gronkowski expected to join Julian Edelman and Josh Gordon. On the other hand, rookie running back Sony Michel is not projected to play. Michel injured his knee on Sunday and missed three days of practice.
On defense, cornerback Eric Rowe is also expected to miss the game. However, the Pats have Stephon Gilmore, Jason McCourty, JC Jackson, Jonathan Jones and Keion Crossen at corner. Moreover, even New England’s mediocre defense shouldn’t worry about Buffalo’s neutered offense. Nor should sportsbook sites users worry about the Bills covering the spread.
Betting Bills
Journeyman QB Derek Anderson was named the Bills starter for Week 7. He threw three interceptions, perhaps as an homage to teammate Nathan Peterman. Anderson also lost a fumble and threw not a single TD. To make matters worse, running back LeSean McCoy could be ruled out for Monday. He was placed in concussion protocol and has not yet been cleared to play.
Defensively, Buffalo is better on paper than on the field. They allowed the Colts 376 total yards – 220 on the ground.
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills Monday Night Football Betting
- Date: October 29
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Venue: New Era Field
Lines from MyBookie.ag:
- NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -14 (-103) 44½ (-110) -1200
- BUFFALO BILLS +14 (-117) 44½ (-110) +755
New England Team Stats
Offense
- Points per game: 30.6 (4th)
- Total yards per game: 381.1 (10th)
- Passing yards per game: 260.3 (14th)
- Rushing yards per game: 120.9 (14th)
Defense
- Points allowed per game: 25.6 (19th)
- Total yards allowed per game: 389.9 (25th)
- Passing yards allowed per game: 275.9 (25th)
- Rushing yards allowed per game: 114.0 (21st)
Buffalo Team Stats
Offense
- Points per game: 11.6 (32nd)
- Total yards per game: 234.0 (31st)
- Passing yards per game 129.4 (32nd)
- Rushing yards per game: 104.6 (19th)
Defense
- Points allowed per game: 25.0 (16th)
- Total yards allowed per game: 320.9 (4th)
- Passing yards allowed per game: 210.1 (4th)
- Rushing yards allowed per game: 110.7 (16th)
Betting Trends
- New England is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games
- New England is 18-4 SU in its last 22 games
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 6 games
- Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Buffalo’s last 5 games
- Buffalo is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Our Pick: The Pats are rolling while the Bills are downward spiraling. Unless there are some Freaky Friday-shenanigans involved, that won’t change. As users of sportsbook sites should always do, take the better team and the points. Especially when the better team is the Pats. New England is 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as 14 points or more favorite. Generally speaking, the visiting team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 games on Monday night.
