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Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M 2019 Texas Bowl Betting Analysis

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Odds

Top sportsbooks favor the Texas A&M Aggies by 6.5 points over the Oklahoma State Cowboys, as the spread goes for the 2019 Texas Bowl on December 27, with kickoff scheduled for 6:45 p.m. EST, at NRG Stadium in Houston.

Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M 2019 Texas Bowl Odds by MyBookie.ag

Oklahoma State+6½ (-110)54 (-110)+195
Texas A&M-6½ (-110)54 (-110)-235
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Betting Oklahoma State Cowboys

The Cowboys finished the regular season with an 8-4 record (5-4 in Big 12 play). Also, OSU went 9-3 ATS, according to the best online sportsbooks. Starting QB Spencer Sanders is 155 of 247 (62.8%) for 2,065 yards with 16 TDs, 11 picks, and 18 sacks. Wide receiver Tylan Wallace has 53 receptions for 903 yards and eight TDs.

Running back Chuba Hubbard has rushed for 1936 yards and 21 TDs on 309 carries. Oklahoma State has the 16th-best rushing (236.3 ypg) and total offense (463.9 ypg). The Cowboys’ 33rd-ranking scoring offense (33.4 ppg) was held to 20 0r fewer points in the last two games of the season.

Linebacker Amen Ogbongbemiga has four sacks, and safeties Malcolm Rodriguez and Kolby Harvell-Peel have 94 tackles and five interceptions, respectively. OSU allows 418.1 total yards per game (87th), including 267.1 through the air (113th). Oklahoma State ranks 61st in points allowed per game (27.0).

Per top sportsbooks, the Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games after a straight-up loss. 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog. And 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games.
Oklahoma State does not have any players sitting out the bowl game. However, OSU did lose Sanders (thumb) and Wallace (ACL), both in November. Senior Dru Brown will be the starting QB. Brown is 57 of 79 (72.2%) for 626 yards with five TDs, one pick, and four sacks this year. The Cowboys’ second-best receiver has 598 yards and five TDs on 49 catches.

Betting Texas A&M Aggies

This will be Aggies’ third Texas Bowl, the most appearances of any school. The 2011 TAMU team had previously won the 2011 Meineke Car Care Bowl of Texas over Northwestern, 33-22. And their 2016 team lost the 2016 Texas Bowl to Kansas State, 33-28.

The Aggies went 7-5 SU and ATS, as recorded by top sportsbooks. Starting QB Kellen Mond is 245 of 400 (61.3%) for 2,802 yards with 19 TDs, nine picks, and 30 sacks. Wide receiver Jhamon Ausbon has 65 receptions for 862 yards and four TDs. Running back Isaiah Spiller has 869 yards and nine TDs on 155 carries. TAMU ranks 72nd in total offense with 398.8 yards per game. The Aggies’ 60th-ranked scoring offense (30.0 ppg) was held to a combined 20 points in the last two games of the season.

Justin Madubuike has 5.5 sacks, linebacker Buddy Johnson has 71 tackles, and defensive back Roney Elam has two interceptions. TAMU ranks 31st in total defense (340.8 ypg) and 30th in pass defense (129.1 ypg). The Aggies allow 22.7 points per game (35th) but conceded a total of 69 in the last two games of the season.

TAMU is 5-1 ATS in their last six Friday games. 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a favorite. And 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after an ATS loss.

“Cordarrian Richardson [is] out of the Texas Bowl for undisclosed reasons. The loss of Richardson continues a disastrous campaign when it comes to running backs. The Aggies have lose [sic] Vernon Jackson and Deneric Prince, Jacob Kibodi and Jashaun Corbin to the transfer portal. Richardson’s absence leaves starter and true freshman, Isaiah Spiller, as the only true running back on the roster. His likely backup for the bowl game will be former quarterback Connor Blumrick, who carried for 28 yards on 7 carries with one fumble in mop-up time in two games late in the season,” reports Rivals.com.

Oklahoma State vs. Texas A&M 2019 Texas Bowl Pick

This will not be a star-studded bowl, which has me wary of betting of the spread. Instead let’s take the under, which is 3-0 in the two teams’ last three games.