The Tennessee Titans travel to Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday night. The Titans and Chiefs have identical records at 5-2, and both lead their division. Despite the Titans owning one of longer current win streaks in the league. Kansas City is a huge 13-point favorite (total at 46½), according to BetUS sportsbook NFL odds.
There’s also a wide disparity in wagering when it comes to winning the title. Kansas City is priced at +650, while the Titans are at 40-1 (+4000), as per Super Bowl odds.
Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Odds by BetUs
|Titans||+12½ (-110)||46½ (-110)||+475|
|Chiefs||-12½ (-110)||46½ (-110)||-650|
Titans’ Five-Game Run
Do not look now, but the Tennessee Titans are arguably the hottest team in the league not playing in Philadelphia. The Titans are on a five-game winning streak. Tennessee defeated the Houston Texans last out, despite quarterback Ryan Tannehill missing the game. Rookie Malik Willis earned the win in his first start, and (no surprise) the Titans leaned heavily on running back Derrick Henry (219 yards and two touchdowns).
Both Tannehill (ankle) and Henry (foot) were included in the team’s injury report, so that’s something to monitor.
Tennesses is an anomaly, with a tremendous record, but not much of a passing game. The Titans are second-worst in the NFL in passing yards per game, one of the league’s worst in points per game (24th, 18.9 ppg). However, the team’s strong run game and solid defense have the Titans doing just what it took to win five of their seven games. That’s not going to defeat Kansas City this Sunday.
In five consecutive wins, Tennessee’s average margin of victory has been 5.8 points. Tennessee failed to exceed 24 points in any of the wins. Conversely, the Chiefs scored more than 24 points in four of their last five, and will gradually work new wideout Kadarious Toney into the mix.
Chiefs as Top Dog?
The Kansas City Chiefs just hung 44 points in a pre-byt rout at the San Francisco 49ers. They lost the previous week in a hard-fought battle against the Super Bowl-fave Buffalo Bills. KC isn’t as hot as Tennessee at the moment, but has won three of its last five games, leading the NFL in scoring at 31.9 points per game.
Having lost two games by a combined seven points this season, Kansas City is going against a very good Tennessee defense in this one. However, quarterback Patrick Mahomes and tight end Travis Kelce have rarely been helped in check thus far, so it’s a battle of strengths.
KC may very well look to run the ball more than in previous games, trying to control time of possession in order to give its defense less time to worry about the Titans’ workhorse Derrick Henry. What’s of note is that Kansas City has the third-best defense in rushing yards per game, due in large part to the opposition abandoning the run while playing at a deficit.
Chiefs in Close Call
Asking the Titans defense to contain the Chiefs to 24-ish points is not realistic. We don’t see the Chiefs losing here. It won’t be by such a wide margin as the odds seem to suggest.
Take the Titans +13, as they are known to keep all of their games very close. If Tennessee’s Derrick Henry runs roughshod once again (see Houston last week), this may be interesting.