Expert Picks NFL Playoffs: Bears vs. Saints Latest Odds and Betting Analysis
Top sportsbooks online favor the home team by 10 points when the Chicago Bears and New Orleans Saints play on Sunday in the NFL NFC Wild Card Playoffs at Mercedes-Benz Superdome. The Chicago Bears (8-8 SU, 8-8 ATS) journey to New Orleans as heavy underdogs. They take on the NFC South champions Saints (12-4 SU, 9-6-1 ATS). Chicago won four of its past five games going into the playoffs. The Saints enter the Wild Card round having scored 85 points in their last two games.
Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Odds by BetUs
|Bears||+10 (-117)||47½ (-105)||+384|
|Saints||-10 (-103)||47½ (-115)||-500|
Betting Chicago Bears
Da Bears are big road dogs according to the best online sportsbooks. If the Bears manage the upset, it will certainly be because of their defensive playmaking. Chicago ranked 12th in the NFL against the pass. And 15th against the run. They allowed the 10th-fewest yards per play.
However, two of their best defenders, linebacker Roquan Smith and cornerback Jaylon Johnson, are listed as questionable. Losing either player would be a huge blow to a team that leans on its defense.
Offensively, quarterback Mitchell Trubisky has been a bargain basement starter this season. He shouldn’t be counted on to win the game by himself. But Tru’s weapon of choice, wide receiver Allen Robinson, is indeed able to bust the game wide open on his own. Robinson paced the team with 102 receptions for 1,250 yards and six TDs. His yardage total is almost twice that of the next-best on the roster.
Betting New Orleans Saints
The Holy Ones are heavy chalk per top sportsbooks online. The big question for New Orleans is the status of its top skills players. Running back Alvin Kamara missed the season closer after he tested positive for COVID-19.
This game takes place exactly ten days after Kamara’s first positive result. He would be eligible to play. That is, if doctors clear him this week. Wide receiver Michael Thomas is eligible to play as well as he returns from injured reserve.
Thomas and starting quarterback Drew Brees have played just 10 quarters of football together all season. That puts the success of the team into perspective. Rarely have they been at full strength. While the offense gets healthier, the defense remains the cornerstone of the team. The Saints ranked fifth against the pass. And fourth against the run. They forced the third-most TOs in the league. They ranked in the top five in several other key stats.
Chicago Bears vs. New Orleans Saints NFL Pick
According to top sportsbooks online, The Bears are 2-6 ATS in their last eight playoff games. And 1-4 ATS in their last five against the NFC. The Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. And 1-4 ATS in their last five playoff games.
The over is 5-1 in the Bears’ last six games overall. The over is 6-2 in the Saints’ last eight home games. The Bears are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four trips to New Orleans. And 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven meetings.
The Chicago Bears have been a better team since Trubisky returned under center. But they haven’t defeated a team with a winning record since a week 5 win over the Bucs. The New Orleans Saints have seen six of their last seven wins decided by double digits. They have covered seven of their last nine.
When these teams clashed back in early November, the Bears forced OT. But they are not the same teams at this stage of the season. Can you trust the Bears offense to do enough damage to remain competitive? Not really. Look for the Saints to get away with this one in the second half.