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Miami Dolphins Underdogs against the Patriots in NFL Betting Week 4

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins Betting Odds and Expert Predictions
  • by Andrew Scofield
  • September 29th, 2018
  • Category:

According to the best sport betting sites, the Miami Dolphins are 6.5 underdogs. But Miami has something for which even the best online sportsbooks don’t account. As Alexander Pope wrote in his poem An Essay on Man, “hope springs eternal.” And the Dolphins hope that, if the Lions could beat the New England Patriots, so can they. In fact, they are hoping against hope. Especially considering Miami has not won at Foxboro since 2009. According to USA Today, the Pats’ “sluggish 1-2 start has something of a different feel [than previous years] after the franchise’s first consecutive double-digit losses since 2002.” You have to give it to the Patriots. Even when they suck they do it in new and more creative ways each time. Like Hitchcock, they are masters at crafting suspense.

Betting Miami

The Dolphins are 3-0 straight-up and against-the-spread. But to paraphrase Diamond Dallas Page, who have they beat? The Tennessee Titans, the New York Jets, and the Oakland Raiders. Neither the bottom of the barrel nor the cream of the crop. Unless they defeat the Pats – even these aimless Pats – they haven’t beaten anyone. Then and only then should the best sport betting sites have faith in Miami.

The Dolphins secondary has seven picks and has held opposing teams to 17.3 points per game. On the other hand, they have lost nine straight at Gillette Stadium by an average margin of 18.4 points. Moreover, they are 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS as a dog of seven points or more.

Betting New England

The Pats are ranking 29th in third-down conversion (28.6%) and 24th in first downs (53 total). The passing game is barely there and the ground attack is nonexistent. Conversely, they are 8-0 SU in their last eight games at Gillette Stadium, winning by an average of 14.3 points. And they are the New England freakin Patriots, for freak’s sake!

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots NFL Week 4 Betting Preview

  • Date: September 30
  • Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Gillette Stadium


Lines from Intertops.eu:

  • MIAMI DOLPHINS     +6½ (-110) 48 (-110) +230
  • NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -6½ (-110) 48 (-110) -280

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New England Team Stats

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