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Chiefs and Bills in AFC Playoff Rematch of Two Top Teams

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs AFC Divisional Playoffs Pick & Odds

Buffalo and Kansas City have been on a Super Bowl best collision course all season. Last year the Chiefs fought off the Bills in the AFC championship game. But everyone saw Buffalo as a team on the rise. This season the Bills had some of the best metrics in the NFL. And their Wild Card slaughter of the Patriots was quite the statement maker. Meanwhile the Chiefs overcame a terrible start in 2021 to regain their championship form. Kansas City was routed by Buffalo at Arrowhead earlier this season. But on Sunday night, the rematch is for keeps.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Betting

Date and time:Sunday, January 23, 2022, 6:30 p.m. ET
TV Coverage:CBS and Paramount+
LocationGEHA Field and Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

Buffalo Bills vs. Chiefs AFC Divisional Playoffs Odds by BetUs

Bills+2 ( -110 )54½ ( -110 )+110
Chiefs-2 ( -110 )54½ ( -110 )-130
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Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Wagering Analysis

Overall, the top online sportsbook handle should be split evenly between these two teams. Buffalo wowed the betting public with their dismantling of the Patriots. In comparison, the Chiefs have hit their stride at the most important time of the year.

Buffalo Continues to Pay Bills at Reliable Rate

Last week Buffalo humiliated New England 47-17 as 4.5-point home favorites. The game went over the Betting on Super Bowl total of 43.5. As a result, the Bills are 12-6 straight up, 10-6-2 against the spread, and 9-9 over/under. Overall, Buffalo has NFL metrics of 5th for total offense and 3rd for scoring offense. Defensively, the Bills have NFL metrics of 1st overall and 1st for points allowed.

Of great concern to gamblers is how Buffalo played a perfect game against New England. Such a performance is going to be impossible to replicate. Especially at Arrowhead against the surging Chiefs.

Chiefs Peaking at Perfect Time

Last week Kansas City wore down Pittsburgh 42-21 as 11-point home favorites. The game went over the Super Bowl betting odds total of 46.5. As a result, the Chiefs are 13-5 straight up, 9-9 against the spread, and 11-7 over/under. Kansas City has NFL metrics of 3rd for total offense and 4th for scoring offense. Defensively, the Chiefs have NFL metrics of 27th overall and 8th for points allowed.

The Chiefs were slow out of the gate against the Steelers. Following a Pittsburgh TD fumble return, Kansas City woke up. The Chiefs’ ability to take over a game like few other teams has gamblers believing again.

Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs Against the Spread

Buffalo is 4-0-1 against the NFL gambling odds in its last five games. Late on, the Bills are 4-2 over the total in their most recent six matchups. Buffalo has won five consecutive games straight up. In recent away games, the Bills are 5-2 over the total. Specifically, against AFC teams, Buffalo is 14-6 straight up. And against the AFC West, the Bills are 5-2 on the board.

Late on, the Chiefs have paid in seven of their most recent nine games. Kansas City has cleared the total in six consecutive games. KC has won ten of its last 11 games straight up. Specifically, at Arrowhead, the Chiefs have covered five successive games. Against AFC opponents, Kansas City is 7-1 straight up in their last eight matchups. Also, the Chiefs are 6-1 straight up vs. the AFC East. KC is 2-4 against the spread in January action.

Against the Chiefs, Buffalo is 2-5 against the spread. Also, Kansas City is 5-2 vs. the odds against the Bills. At Arrowhead, the Bills and Chiefs are 4-1 over the total. In sum, Buffalo and Kansas City are 6-12 under the total.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs AFC Divisional Playoffs Pick

Previously the Bills beat a Chiefs team that was among the worst in the league in the first half of the 2021 campaign. Now Kansas City is back in top Super Bowl betting form. In this situation, the Chiefs price is right.

Bills at Chiefs Best Bet: Kansas City Chiefs.