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Bills vs. Chiefs AFC Divisional Playoffs Betting Lines, Best Bets and Predictions

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs AFC Divisional Playoffs Pick & Odds

The point spread and total at the best NFL sportsbooks have already ebbed and flowed in early betting. However, the most recent numbers do not reflect a lot of change from the opening lines. Bettors got on Kansas City wagon straight away.

They moved the two-time AFC champions up to -3 before Buffalo money sent the spread back down to -2. The total also saw some initial motion at the best online sportsbooks. It dropped to 53 before the OVER money pushed it back up to 55.

The Kansas City Chiefs (13-5 SU, 9-9 ATS) will battle a familiar opponent in the divisional round of the AFC playoffs Sunday. They receive the Buffalo Bills (12-6, 10-6-2) as small home chalk at the best sportsbooks.

Bills vs. Chiefs AFC Divisional Playoffs Odds by BetAnySports

Bills+2 ( -110 )54½ ( -110 )+110
Chiefs-2 ( -110 )54½ ( -110 )-130
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Betting Buffalo Bills

When the Bills win, they do it big time. The stats do not lie. For example, the Chiefs saw Buffalo come to Arrowhead as a three-point road dog in Week 5 and upset them out 38-20. That is one reason that the spread is a tad smaller this time.

All of Buffalo’s 12 wins have been by at least 12 points after a 47-17 blowout of the New England Patriots as a 4.5-point home faves last Saturday in the wild-card round. The Bills scored seven TDs on their first seven possessions against the Pats.

Quarterback Josh Allen passed for five scores. Running back Devin Singletary rushed for another two. Allen was nigh unstoppable in the last trip to Kansas City. He had 315 passing yards, 59 rushing yards and four total TDs.

The Bills need to keep doing what brung them to the dance. They have to remain confident in their game plan. Whatever it was that they did the last time worked like a charm. They also led last season’s AFC championship game 9-0 after the first quarter before they choked in an eventual 38-24 loss. Containing the Chiefs offense could be the difference maker. They might not be able to win another shootout.

Betting Kansas City Chiefs

The Chiefs are favored by almost a field goal at the best sportsbooks. The Chiefs wish they were playing like the team that has made it to the Super Bowl the last couple of years. The difference is that starting quarterback Patrick Mahomes seems to be back on track, playing more confidently.

He racked up 404 passing yards and threw five scoring TDs in a 42-21 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers on Wild Card Weekend. Mahomes threw two picks in the latest meeting with Buffalo. He was also sacked twice.

He will get another shot at the league’s top-ranked defense. The key is that this game is again a home game. That is where they have thrived in the past few seasons. They have won seven straight there, and covered the last five, after they beat the Steelers as 11.5-point home faves. Two of those wins were against the Steelers.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs AFC Divisional Playoffs Pick

We understand the for Buffalo, seeing as how they dissected New England. However, the Pats starting a rookie under center was doomed to fail from the get go. Once Buffalo got hot there was no way to stop them.

Kansas City’s have by no means played the best football in the league in the last couple of months. Nonetheless, it is safe to say that the Chiefs are out for blood after the Bills upset Kansas City earlier this season. Still, take the Bills and the points in this game that they are going to play.