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#1 Alabama Crimson Tide at Ole Miss Rebels NCAAF Betting Preview 9/15/18

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels Expert predictions and odds
  • by Andrew Scofield
  • September 13th, 2018
  • Category:

Top online betting sites favor the Alabama Crimson Tide by 21.5 points over the Ole Miss Rebels. The Tide’s vaunted defense will finally encounter some real competition. The Rebels boast one of the most complete receiving units in all of college football. “Oh yeah, they have a trio of receivers — A.J. Brown, DK Metcalf, and DaMarkus Lodge — these are three NFL caliber guys,” Alabama junior safety Deionte Thompson said. “They stretch the field at any time and they have a good quarterback to go along with that trio, so that’s something we’re going to have to be prepared for. We’re going to have to do a very good job of preparing for them this week.”

Betting Alabama

Starting QB Tua Tagovailoa could be the Brock Lesnar of college football. His motto could be Eat, Sleep, Conquer, Repeat. He went 12-for-16 for 227 yards and two touchdowns in a 51-14 win over Louisville in the season opener. A week later he went 13-for-19 for 228 yards and four touchdowns in a 57-7 win over Arkansas State. Meanwhile, backup Jalen Hurts threw for 93 yards and two touchdowns against A-State. You know, just to remind us he’s still alive.

Alabama is 28-2 SU in the last 30 SEC games and 9-6-1 ATS in their last 16 divisional contests. Additionally, the Tide is 26-4 SU and 16-13-1 ATS in its last 30 visits to SEC opponents. Alabama averaged a winning margin of 22.5 points in those 26 wins. If that top online betting sites trend continues, ‘Bama would cover the 21.5 spread.

Betting Ole Miss

The Rebels have been scoring like crazy but have allowed too many points as well. They tallied 123 points in the first two games. But they allowed Southern Illinois 41 points and Texas Tech 27. That doesn’t bode well for their chances against Tagovailoa and the Alabama offense. On the other hand, this is a rivalry game and Ole Miss has home advantage. Hopefully that means it will be a close, exciting encounter. Senior QB Jordan Ta’amu has completed 69.2% of his passes for 784 yards, seven TDs and no picks. Alabama’s secondary has allowed 470 passing yards in the first two games. Thus, the aerial attack seems like the way for the Rebels to keep up with the Tide.

Ole Miss has lost 10 of its last 14 divisional games, going 4-9-1 ATS in that period. The Rebels are 1-5 SU and ATS in their last six hosting SEC teams. Ole Miss is just 4-18 SU (3-8 at home) but 12-10 ATS in the last 22 games with the Tide since 1995. Fun fact: none of the best online sportsbooks existed in 1995.

Alabama Crimson Tide at Ole Miss Rebels Betting Information

  • Date: September 15
  • Time: 6:00 pm CT
  • Venue: Vaught–Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS

Odds from MyBookie.ag:

  • Alabama Crimson Tide -21½ (-110) O 71 (-110)
  • Ole Miss Rebels +21½ (-110) U 71 (-110)

Betting Trends

  • Alabama is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Alabama is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
  • Alabama is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Mississippi is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Mississippi is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games
  • Mississippi is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

The Crimson Tide is just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games versus Ole Miss. And just 2-6 ATS in their last eight trips to the Magnolia State. Alabama scored a 66-3 win against the Rebels last season. But that was in ‘Bama. The last two times Ole Miss hosted the Tide, the games were decided by six points or fewer. Also, Alabama is 0-4 ATS in their last four conference games. Tua Tagovailoa has been tearing up the pea patch. But Jordan Ta’amu has been sitting catbird seat himself. Mississippi may not get the win but should be able to cover the top online betting sites spread.