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2021 Kentucky Derby Early Picks, Odds and Analysis (Saturday, May 1st, 2021)

2021 Kentucky Derby Horse Racing Betting Odds

Top offshore sportsbooks favor Essential Quality to win the 2021 Kentucky Derby. The 2021 Kentucky Derby will be the 147th running of the selfsame. It will occur on the first Saturday in May. That is to say, May 1, 2021 in Louisville, Kentucky.

The field is open to 20 horses. They qualify for the race by earning points on the 2021 Road to the Kentucky Derby. The Kentucky Derby is a Grade I stakes race for three-year-old Thoroughbreds at a distance of 11⁄4 miles (2.0 km). The race has been run at Churchill Downs racetrack since its first iteration in 1875. The purse for 2021 will be US$3 million.

2021 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds by BetUs

HorseOdds
Essential Quality  +250
Concert Tour  +700
Rock Your World  +500
Hot Rod Charlie  +700
Highly Motivated  +1000
Bourbonic  +1200
Known Agenda  +1000
Medina Spirit  +1600
Helium  +1600
Weyburn  +1600
Dynamic One  +1600
Midnight Bourbon  +2000
Dream Shake  +2000
Soup And Sandwich  +2000
Crowded Trade +2000
Like The King +2000
Sainthood  +2000
Mandaloun  +2500
Caddo River  +1600
Proxy  +2500
Hozier +4000
Bezos  +3300
Rombauer  +4000
Hidden Stash  +4000
Starrininmydreams  +5000
Panadol  +10000
Bezos  +5000
Get Her Number +4000


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Essential Quality

Is favored to win at the best online sportsbooks. He was bred in Kentucky by Godolphin. Essential Quality is the only winner and the second starter of five foals from the Elusive Quality mare Delightful Quality.

Essential Quality goes into Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs as an Eclipse Award-winning juvenile male champion. He has a record of 2 and 3. Whether he can win the Run for the Roses, like Nyquist did in 2016 and Seattle Slew in 1977, has yet to be seen in less than a month. He demonstrated April 3 in winning the $800,000 Toyota Blue Grass Stakes (G2) at Keeneland that he is a legit favorite at top offshore sportsbooks.

Rock Your World

He won the $700,000 Runhappy Santa Anita Derby on April 3 at Santa Anita Park. Whether Rock Your World’s skills can translate to dirt was the big question for the colt (insofar as a large four-legged mammal can ponder such things) as he entered the $700,000 Runhappy Santa Anita Derby.

He was 2-for-2 on grass as he entered California’s signature prep for the Kentucky Derby. A 4 ¼-length runaway win in the Santa Anita Derby provided an enthusiastic answer to that question. Rock Your World emerged as a force to be reckoned with to win the Kentucky Derby.

Hot Rod Charlie

Hot Rod Charlie is another contender at top offshore sportsbooks. He was the front-running winner of the GII TwinSpires.com Louisiana Derby in his latest outing at the races. He prepped for the May 1 GI Kentucky Derby with a five-furlong breeze on Saturday morning over the Santa Anita main track.

The half-brother to champion Mitole stopped the clock in 1:01.20. This was satisfactory to trainer Doug O’Neill. “’Charlie’ had company with a horse named Hammering Lemon (Square Eddie) [clocked in 1:01.60] who broke off in front of him,” the two-time Derby-winning trainer commented. “They both finished up good, but Charlie was the better of the two. Knock on wood we’re heading the right way.”

Bob Baffert

Bob Baffert’s Concert Tour ran an underwhelming third in the $1-million race for 3-year-olds. Super Stock, a 12-1 longshot, observed from the middle of the pack as Concert Tour and Caddo River challenged one other at the front.

The expectation was that as the two colts hit the top of the stretch, the unbeaten Concert Tour was in a perfect position to take the lead in the 1 1/8-mile race. However, Concert Tour flattened out. Caddo River barely managed to hold on for second place as Super Stock went to the outside to win by 2½ lengths.

2021 Kentucky Derby Picks

On that note, let’s go with Super Stock as a surprise early pick.