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Memphis Tigers (9-3) vs. Iowa State Cyclones (7-5)

 

Memphis Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones – The Memphis Tigers, with a commendable 9-3 record, are set to face the Iowa State Cyclones, who hold a 7-5 standing, in the upcoming Liberty Bowl on December 29, 2023. This game is a focal point for fans and analysts alike, who are keenly making their best college football bowl picks for this eagerly anticipated matchup.

Memphis Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones Game Info

When: Friday, December 29, 2023, at 3:30 PM ET
Where: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
TV: ESPN
Stream: Sofascore 

Seth Henigan QB vs. Rocco Becht QB

Seth Henigan has put together an impressive 2023 campaign, completing 66.5% of his passes for 3,519 yards, 28 touchdowns and 9 interceptions, good for a 150.2 passer rating. The sophomore has shown poise in the pocket and ability to push the ball downfield with accuracy. However, he has struggled with consistency at times and will need to avoid costly turnovers.

Rocco Becht has taken over as QB for Iowa State, completing 63.5% of his passes for 2,674 yards, 20 TDs and 8 INTs. The freshman operates well within the Cyclones’ system, spreading the ball around and taking what the defense gives him. While Becht doesn’t have elite arm strength, he protects the football and has gone four straight games without an interception. His decision-making will be key against an opportunistic Memphis defense.

Explosive Memphis Offense Capable of Lighting Up the Scoreboard

With weapons like receiver Roc Taylor and running back Blake Watson, Memphis has one of the most explosive offenses in the AAC. Taylor is averaging over 16 yards per catch while Watson sits at nearly 6 yards per carry. Combined with Henigan’s passing prowess, the Tigers are capable of striking quickly at any moment, which could present issues for an Iowa State defense that has been shaky in recent outings. With the Liberty Bowl expected to be a high-scoring affair, Memphis seems built to thrive in a shootout atmosphere behind the strength of its passing game.

Methodical Iowa State Offense Relies on Efficiency

While not as explosive as Memphis, Iowa State’s offense is quietly efficient, grinding down opponents with a balanced attack. Running back Abu Sama III averages 8.5 yards per carry while receiver Jayden Higgins hauls in over 17 yards per catch. Becht orchestrates the attack with precision, putting his playmakers in positions to succeed. The Cyclones won’t wow you, but they excel at ball control, ranking 15th nationally in time of possession. Long methodical drives could allow Iowa State to dictate pace and keep the Tigers’ playmakers off the field.

NCAAF Betting Odds: Iowa State Cyclones -350, Over/Under: 57.5

The betting odds favor Iowa State with a moneyline of -350 and a spread of -9.5. The over/under is set at a relatively high 57.5, indicating expectations for a high-scoring game.

Memphis Tigers Betting Trends

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis’ last 6 games.

Memphis are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis’ last 6 games played in December.

Memphis are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Friday.

Memphis are 0-9 SU in their last 9 games when playing as the underdog.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis’ last 6 games played on a Friday when on the road.

Iowa State Cyclones Betting Trends

Iowa State are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Iowa State’s last 20 games.

Iowa State are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.

Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the American Athletic Conference conference.

Iowa State are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in December.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa State’s last 7 games played on a Friday.

Memphis Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones Betting Picks

The betting trends and statistics suggest Iowa State as a strong contender. However, the spread is sizeable, and Memphis’ ability to score could make them competitive against it.

While Iowa State might be the safer moneyline pick, Memphis could cover the spread. The total points are tricky, but given Memphis’ trend, the OVER could be a viable option.

This prediction takes into account the current form, statistical analysis, and betting trends. Bettors should also consult the latest updates and insights on Americas Betting Sites for the most informed betting decisions.

 

Receiving Yards Prop: Iowa State 34, Memphis 27. 

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