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Miami (OH) RedHawks (10-2) vs. Toledo Rockets (11-1)

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets December 2, 2023: The Miami (OH) RedHawks take on the Toledo Rockets this Saturday in the MAC Championship game at Ford Field. According to NCAAF latest picks, this matchup features two of the top teams in the conference vying for the title. The RedHawks surprised many with their 10-2 record, while the Rockets have firmly established themselves as favorites at 11-1. With conference supremacy and a potential bowl game on the line, expect both squads to leave everything on the field.

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets December 2, 2023 Game Info

When: Saturday, December 2, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
Where: Ford Field
TV: ESPN
Stream: Sofascore

Brett Gabbert QB vs. Dequan Finn QB

Brett Gabbert has put together an impressive 2023 campaign for the RedHawks. He’s thrown for 1,634 yards, 14 touchdowns and 5 interceptions while completing 59.4% of his passes. Gabbert excels at pushing the ball downfield, averaging 8.7 yards per attempt. His decision making has also improved, as evidenced by his 152.1 passer rating. However, he has struggled against pressure at times and taken 15 sacks. Gabbert’s composure and precision will be tested by a fierce Toledo defense.

Dequan Finn has been phenomenal in leading Toledo’s high-powered offense. He has 2,384 passing yards, 21 touchdowns and 155.4 rating this season. Finn is an elite dual threat, adding 659 rush yards and 8 TDs on the ground. He processes defenses quickly, distributing the ball well to his playmakers. Finn has shown mastery running the offense and protecting the football with only 8 interceptions. His mobility also enables him to evade pass rushers despite Toledo’s suspect offensive line. Finn’s versatility poses a stiff challenge for the Miami defense.

Surging Ground Game Fuels RedHawks

The catalyst behind Miami’s late season surge has been an punishing ground attack, led by running back Rashad Amos. Amos averages 5.1 yards per carry, racking up 821 yards and 10 touchdowns. His tackle-breaking power between the tackles opens up play action shots downfield for Gabbert. Freshman Keyon Mozee has provided a nice change of pace as well. Against Bowling Green last week, the RedHawks compiled 253 rushing yards. Controlling possession and tempo with the run could allow them to hang around versus Toledo.

Red Hot Rockets Riding Historic Season

Toledo is in the midst of one of the best seasons in program history under head coach Jason Candle. The potent Rocket offense ranks 7th nationally, averaging 38.3 points per game. Quarterback Dequan Finn directs an explosive attack with the help of running back Peny Boone. Boone has been nearly unstoppable, amassing 1,359 yards and 15 touchdowns while averaging 7.4 yards per touch. His combination of burst and power has anchored the MAC’s #1 rushing unit. Stretching the defense vertically is All-MAC receiver Jerjuan Newton, who leads Toledo with 9 touchdown grabs. The defensive has held up enough to support Toledo’s prolific offense. An opportunistic secondary has snatched 11 interceptions as well over the past five games.

NCAAF Betting Odds: Toledo Rockets -300, Over/Under: 44

The Rockets have been installed as 7.5 point favorites, with the over/under set at 44 total points. Toledo owns a clear edge in offensive firepower and has performed well against the spread this season. However, the RedHawks have proven feisty as underdogs and this game could come down to the wire. There is value backing Miami with the points, while hammering the under seems prudent given the strength of both defenses.

Miami (OH) RedHawks Betting Trends

Miami-OH are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-OH’s last 5 games.

Miami-OH are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games.

Miami-OH are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Toledo.

RedHawks are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games against Toledo.

Miami-OH are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference.

Toledo Rockets Betting Trends

Toledo are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toledo’s last 6 games.

Toledo are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toledo’s last 7 games against Miami-OH.

Toledo are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the Mid-American conference.

Toledo are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the East Division division.

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Toledo Rockets Betting Picks

This game will likely be decided by which offense can dictate tempo and establish consistency running the football. Toledo owns the MAC’s top ground game behind the legs of Peny Boone, who should help the Rockets control time of possession. However, Miami’s resurgent defense has held 4 of their last 5 opponents under 20 points. The RedHawks are more battle tested as well, going 6-2 in one possession contests. According to America’s betting websites, if Gabbert can avoid turning the ball over, Miami should be able to keep it close.

 

Receiving Yards Prop: Toledo 34 Miami 24.

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