Fresno State Bulldogs (8-3) vs San Diego State Aztecs (3-8)
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs 11/25/23 – The Fresno State Bulldogs roll into Week 13 aiming to extend their late-season push for a conference title against the struggling San Diego State Aztecs. Winning college football betting sites tips suggest the Bulldogs covering the spread on the road Saturday night. Join the excitement of this captivating matchup!
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs 11/25/23 Game Info
| When: | Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 10:30 PM ET |
| Where: | Snapdragon Stadium |
| TV: | FS1 |
| Stream: | Sofascore |
Mikey Keene QB vs Jalen Mayden QB
In his first year as a starter, Mikey Keene has been excellent directing Fresno State’s offense. He is completing 66.6% of his passes and averages a solid 6.9 yards per attempt. Keene has shown good decision making as well, with 21 touchdowns to just 8 picks on the year. His 140.2 passer rating in conference games leads the Mountain West. While arm strength isn’t a strength, Keene knows how to manage the game and avoid mistakes. He should find success targeting Erik Brooks and the Bulldogs other playmakers against a porous Aztecs secondary on Saturday night.
Since taking over under center a few weeks ago, Jalen Mayden has struggled mightily leading San Diego State’s offense. While he averages a decent 6.4 yards per pass attempt, Mayden completes just 63% of his throws and has thrown 9 interceptions during the Aztecs’ current slide. He doesn’t get much help from a receiving corps that lacks explosive playmakers downfield either. Mayden will need to make quicker decisions and avoid turnovers giving Fresno State’s strong defense extra possessions on Saturday night.
Potent Bulldogs Offense
The Bulldogs have one of the most efficient offenses in the Mountain West behind quarterback Mikey Keene. Keene has thrown for over 2400 yards and 21 touchdowns this season, spearheading an aerial attack that averages 279 passing yards per game. His rapport with top wideout Erik Brooks will be a challenge for the Aztecs’ 115th-ranked pass defense to contain. On the ground, running back Malik Sherrod adds balance with his 5.4 yards per carry and 7 scores.
Struggling Aztecs Offense
For San Diego State, new starting quarterback Jalen Mayden has struggled since taking over a few weeks ago. He’s thrown 9 interceptions to just 9 touchdowns, symptomatic of an Aztecs offense averaging only 22 points during their current 1-8 skid. The bright spot is running back Jaylon Armstead, who leads the team with 7 rushing touchdowns. However, with the Bulldogs allowing just 16 points over their last 3 contests, Armstead will need plenty of help moving the chains on Saturday night.
NCAAF Betting Odds: Fresno State Bulldogs -197, Over/Under: 47.5
With Fresno State heavily favored on the road by 5 points, the sportsbooks expect them to win handily on Saturday night. The total is set at 47.5 points in what oddsmakers anticipate being a lower scoring affair.
Fresno State Bulldogs Betting Trends
Fresno State are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.
Bulldogs are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games.
Fresno State are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against San Diego State.
Fresno State are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Fresno State’s last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego State.
Fresno State are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference.
San Diego State Aztecs Betting Trends
San Diego State are 1-8 SU in their last 9 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Diego State’s last 9 games against Fresno State.
San Diego State are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State’s last 5 games when playing at home against Fresno State.
San Diego State are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference.
San Diego State are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the West Division division.
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. San Diego State Aztecs Betting Picks
The betting trends clearly favor the red-hot Bulldogs as 5-point favorites over the scuffling Aztecs on Saturday night. Fresno State is scoring over 33 points per game during their current 5-1 surge, while San Diego State averages just 267 total yards on offense – good for 125th in the nation. Even playing on the road, top betting sites in USA predict coach Tedford’s efficient offense led by Mikey Keene will simply overpower the struggling Aztecs.
Look for the Bulldogs to control the line of scrimmage and time of possession behind a heavy dose of Malik Sherrod. That ball control attack should allow their defense to fluster quarterback Jalen Mayden into more costly turnovers as well. With Fresno State primed for another lopsided conference victory, back the Bulldogs -5.
Score Predictions: Fresno State Bulldogs 35 San Diego State 17
