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Phoenix Suns (25-24) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (39-9)

Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder February 5 2025 – The Phoenix Suns are struggling to remain consistent with their record slightly under .500, while the Oklahoma City Thunder are cruising through the Western Conference with an impressive record of 39-9. With the two teams facing off on February 5, 2025, at the Paycom Center, the Suns hope to pull off a major upset against the team that has been dominant at home. The game will be streamed live on ESPN and will feature all the action two teams eager to make a statement. Are these the days when the Suns will finally rise to the occasion, or are the Thunder set to continue their dominance? Keep reading for the exclusive free NBA predictions and best bets for this two highly potent teams.

Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder February 5 2025 Game Info

When: Wednesday, February 5, 2025, at 9:30 PM ET
Where: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
TV: ESPN
Stream: NBA League Pass

Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Suns +500 +12.5 (-120) Over 225.5 (-115)
Thunder -800 -12.5 (+100) Under 225.5 (-105)

The betting odds clearly favor Oklahoma City, with the Thunder listed as a -800 moneyline favorite, while the Suns enter as massive underdogs at +500. The 12.5-point spread suggests sportsbooks expect a one-sided affair, given the Thunder’s dominant record and home-court advantage. However, with a total set at 225.5, oddsmakers anticipate a relatively high-scoring game, in line with the Suns’ tendency to hit the over in recent matchups. Bettors looking for value might consider Phoenix against the spread given their desperation, though Oklahoma City home dominance makes them the safer pick.

Devin Booker (SG) vs. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG)

Devin Booker has carried the offensive load for the Suns, with 26.1 points, 6.7 assists and 4 rebounds per game. This All-Star shooting guard can manufacture shots from any part of the court and creates them with a silky jumper, paired with exceptional scoring instincts. On the other hand, he has also been plagued by turnover issues, averaging 2.6 per game while most of his defensive metrics are unfortunately not impressive either. In order for Phoenix to keep the game competitive, Booker has to pull off one of his classic performances while ensuring he makes fewer errors.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is making his case to be an MVP frontrunner, pouring in 32.5 points along with 6 assists and 5.2 rebounds to lead Oklahoma City. He’s also a nightmare on defense with an average of 2 steals and 1 block per game. This, along with his efficient scoring, gives him a reputation as one of the most complete guards in the league. Being able to score on his own and create plays for his teammates has highlighted SGA’s contribution to the Thunder’s success. If the Suns fail to defend him, they are going to have a tough time in the contest.

Phoenix Suns Rollercoaster Stretch

In their last five games, the Suns’ performance has been below par as they have managed to win only two out of five game, putting their record at 2-3. A close loss of 119-121 against Portland on February 3 illustrated how they did not know how to pamper close games, which has been a nightmare on repeat for them. Although they managed to win against Golden State handsomely 130-105, their defeats against Portland and Minnesota show that they struggle on the defensive end. The Suns need to crank up their defense and get more out of their key players if they wish to remain competitive against the Thunder.

Oklahoma City Thunder Powerhouse at Home

The Thunder have been nearly unbeatable at home, winning 11 of their last 12 games at the Paycom Center. They are coming off a statement 125-96 blowout win over the Milwaukee Bucks, showing just how dangerous they can be on both ends of the floor. With a 144-110 rout of the Kings and a comfortable win over Portland, the Thunder are in top form. Their only stumble came against Golden State (109-116), but with their defensive and offensive efficiency, they remain one of the league’s top threats.

Phoenix Suns Betting Trends

The Suns have struggled against the spread (2-4 ATS in their last six), and their history against OKC isn’t promising (1-5 ATS and 1-5 SU in their last six meetings). However, the total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix’s last 5 games, and they tend to play high-scoring contests on the road (OVER in 6 of last 8 away games). Bettors should take note of their defensive lapses, making the over a strong play.

Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Trends

Oklahoma City has been a bettor’s dream, covering 12 of their last 18 games. They’re 16-4 SU in their last 20 and have been dominant at home (11-1 SU in last 12). Notably, they own Phoenix in Oklahoma, going 17-3 SU in their last 20 matchups at the Paycom Center. With the total going OVER in 6 of their last 7 games, expect another offensive explosion.

Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Preview

Oklahoma City comes into this game as a clear favorite and for good reason. They have been nearly unbeatable at home, and their superb defense might be too strong for a shaky Phoenix team. Devin Booker will have to perform exceptionally in order for the Suns to stay competitive, but even then the Thunder have too much offensive and defensive talent. 

Considering the bets and trends, backing Oklahoma City -12.5 at plus odds looks like a strong play. The total of 225.5 also looks attractive for an over bet, especially considering both teams’ current scoring streaks. This matchup is likely to be one of the best over selections of the season with an Oklahoma City team in great form against an out of form Phoenix team.

 

Score Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder 123, Phoenix Suns 109.   

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