Seattle Seahawks (6-5) vs. Dallas Cowboys (8-3)
Seattle Seahawks vs. Dallas Cowboys November 30, 2023 – The 6-5 Seattle Seahawks take on the 8-3 Dallas Cowboys for this NFC showdown on Thursday Night Football. In a game featuring two of the NFC’s top teams, NFL free picks and predictions will be critical to cash in. Taking place in the iconic AT&T Stadium, this matchup is a critical one for both teams as they push for playoff positioning.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Dallas Cowboys November 30, 2023 Game Info
|Thursday, November 30, 8:15 PM ET
|NFL Game Pass
Geno Smith QB vs. Dak Prescott QB
Geno Smith has exceeded expectations in his first full year as a starter after stepping in admirably for the injured Russell Wilson. He’s thrown for over 250 yards per game with a respectable 12-8 TD-INT ratio while completing nearly 66% of his passes. While he doesn’t have elite arm strength, Smith has shown good accuracy in the short and intermediate areas. He also displays calm pocket presence, using his mobility to extend plays rather than rely solely on his legs. Under offensive coordinator Shane Waldron’s system, Smith has excelled at quick passes and bootleg actions. His chemistry with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett has powered Seattle’s passing offense. However, Smith has struggled against fierce pass rushes, an area the Cowboys and Defensive Player of the Year candidate Micah Parsons excel at. If Seattle’s offensive line can hold up, Smith is capable of efficient performances. But the Cowboys pass rush poses a tall task.
Meanwhile, Dak Prescott seems to have finally regained his 2020 form after injuries derailed him last season. Through 11 games, he’s averaging nearly 270 passing yards per game with an impressive 23-6 TD-INT ratio and 70% completion rate. Prescott has developed strong chemistry and trust with his receiving weapons like CeeDee Lamb, Ezekiel Elliott, and Dalton Schultz. He has shown the ability to precisely lead receivers and create explosive plays downfield. Additionally, Prescott excels at using his mobility to extend plays, averaging 7.9 yards per pass attempt thanks to his legs helping plays develop downfield. Playing behind an elite offensive line, Prescott should have ample time to dice up a mediocre Seahawks secondary if protected. Coming off a tough loss to the Giants where he still passed for over 300 yards, expect Prescott to come out aggressive at home against Seattle.
Seattle Rushing and Receiving Analysis
Led by breakout rookie Kenneth Walker III, the Seahawks boast a formidable rushing attack, averaging over 120 rushing yards per contest. Walker’s quickness and tackle-breaking ability pairs nicely with bruising back Travis Homer. DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett form a dynamic receiving duo, with Metcalf’s size and speed and Lockett’s elite route-running.
Dallas Rushing and Receiving Breakdown
Behind a powerful offensive line, the Cowboys have discovered an electric 1-2 punch at running back with Ezekiel Elliott’s power and Tony Pollard’s speed and elusiveness. Meanwhile, CeeDee Lamb is having a career year, emerging as Prescott’s undisputed number one receiving option capable of taking the top off defenses or turn short throws into long gains. Veterans Michael Gallup and Dalton Schultz round out a loaded passing game.
NFL Betting Odds: Dallas Cowboys -270, Over/Under: 45.5
Despite playing on the road, the Cowboys are nearly touchdown favorites, indicating the books have far more faith in Dallas here. The total suggests Vegas expects a relatively low-scoring defensive affair.
Seattle Seahawks Betting Trends
Seattle are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games.
Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Dallas.
Seattle are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Dallas.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas.
Seattle are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the National Football Conference conference.
Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends
Dallas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’ last 5 games.
Dallas are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Dallas’ last 15 games against Seattle.
Dallas are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas’ last 7 games when playing at home against Seattle.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Dallas Cowboys Betting Picks
Riding hot with a 5-1 ATS record in their last six, the trust lies overwhelmingly with the Cowboys against the spread in this rivalry showdown. Between Lamb and a reinforced run-game, Dak Prescott possesses the more dynamic supporting cast on offense as well. This leads me to side with the Boys at home, covering the 5.5 spread. USA betting sites around the country list Dallas as nearly touchdown favorites for good reason.