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Buffalo Bills (13-4) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (15-2)

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs January 26 2025 – In the AFC Championship Game, the Buffalo Bills stand at a commendable 13-4 while the Kansas City Chiefs take the lead at an exceptional 15-2. They are all set to face each other in an electrifying showdown at GEHA Field located at the Arrowhead Stadium which is bound to thrill the superfans. The stakes couldn’t be higher with one of these two giants clinching the Super Bowl spot. All fans are with bated breath for the grand match.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs January 26 2025 Game Info

When: Sunday, January 26, 2025 at 6:30 PM ET
Where: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
TV: CBS
Stream: NFL Game Pass

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Bills +105 +1.5 (-112) Over 48.5 (-118)
Chiefs -125 -1.5 (-110) Under 48.5 (-104)

As suggested by the betting odds, this matchup is predicted to be quite evenly matched, with the Chiefs being given a slight advantage as hosts. The narrow spread indicates a closely contested matchup whereas the total points line of 48.5 suggests expectations of a fairly high scoring game which will probably stem from the attacking strengths of both teams.

Josh Allen QB vs. Patrick Mahomes QB

Josh Allen has brilliantly carved a place among the top-tier quarterbacks of the NFL once again. Over 17 games, Allen completed 307 of his 483 attempts for 3,731 yards, enjoying a 63.6% completion rate and a passer rating of 101.4. His legs have helped him out quite a bit in extending plays and fearless playmaking tends to come in quite handy as well for the Bills. That said, his over-aggressive tendencies tend to make him a loose cannon which might contribute to turnovers on his side, especially in this high-stakes matchup.

On the other side, Patrick Mahomes performance this season is a display of grit and flexibility. Mahomes completed 67.5% of his passes while being heavily pressured, as witnessed by the 36 sacks taken, and threw for 3928 yards. The relatively low yards per attempt as compared to previous seasons is perhaps a more cautionary tale but his composure while getting chased is unmatched. Mahomes’ knowledge of how to win the big-time games like he has done in numerous AFC Championships before can be essential for the Chiefs.

Buffalo’s Ground and Air Attack: An In-Depth Look

James Cook’s emergence as a powerful running back has balanced the Bills offense; he has amassed 1009 rushing yards and 16 touchdowns. Khalil Shakir has also been pivotal in the receiving corps, racking up 821 yards. Their recent displays include tight victories over Baltimore and Denver, which have painted a picture of an offense that thrives in peculiar ways, ever reliable on their ball security. This approach to offense is critical as it helps control the tempo of the game; something the Bills would need to do against the Chiefs to keep their powerful offense on the sideline.

Chiefs’ Offensive Strategy: Precision and Patience

The sharp passing game spearheaded by Mahomes, along with the steady contributions from Kareem Hunt in the backfield, form the base of Kansas City’s strategy. Even though Hunt’s rushes are unexciting, his contributions augment a reception core that lacks an explosive wide receiver but has been productive. The defeat the Chiefs suffered at the hands of Denver was an unusual slip in what is otherwise a superb home record, an indication that Arrow Mane Stadium remains a stronghold.

Buffalo Bills Betting Trends

Buffalo are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Buffalo’s last 11 games.

Buffalo are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games.

Buffalo are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against Kansas City.

Buffalo are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games against Kansas City.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Trends

Kansas City are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City’s last 7 games.

Kansas City are 18-2 SU in their last 20 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 7 games against Buffalo.

Kansas City are 12-0 SU in their last 12 games at home.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Previews

Using recent performances and statistical data, it is fair to conclude that this particular AFC Championship face-off is bound to be hard-fought with the possibility of a high total score. There is a consistent guarantee for points on the board and given the high levels at which both quarterbacks are performing, taking OVERS is quite a safe bet. Then again, the Chiefs have the luxury of being slightly favored due to their home record as well as postseason experience.

Even though the Chiefs look poor on the ATS front and relatively well at home, it could still be wise to take the Bills +6.5. Considering the on-field abilities, prop bets of touchdowns pass leaders, as well as rushing leaders could be a good boost.

 

Score Prediction: Chiefs 27, Bills 24.   

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