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Atlanta Falcons (8-7) vs. Washington Commanders (10-5)

Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders December 29 2024 – As the NFL regular season comes to an end, there is an exciting game upcoming in Week 17: the Atlanta Falcons at the Washington Commanders. The Atlanta Falcons are placed 8-7, while the Washington Commanders have a 10-5 record, meaning the Falcons are coming off a crucial away game facing the Commanders. This affected not only post-season places but also proved to be a good work of patience and strategy over the course of several months.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders December 29 2024 Game Info

When: Sunday, December 29, 2024, at 8:20 PM ET
Where: Northwest Stadium
TV: NBC
Stream: NFL Game Pass

Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders Betting Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Falcons -145 -2.5 (-120) Over 46.5 (-120)
Commanders +122 +2.5 (-120) Under 46.5 (-120)

The Falcons narrow edges according to the odds and this highlights the fact that they have recently gotten better even though the season has been marked with inconsistencies. On the other hand, the Commanders have a good value line with a plus money line which shows that they can use their home advantage which they have always done.

Kirk Cousins QB vs. Jayden Daniels QB

Kirk Cousins, veteran quarterback of the Falcons, has completed his comeback, this season registering 3,508 passing yards and 18 touchdowns. Nevertheless, his 16 interceptions portray a system still weak in the face of pressure which will be decisive against the unusual Commanders defense. For the Falcons, Cousins is crucial as he is capable of making important plays given the circumstances.

On the other hand, Jayden Daniels of Commanders possesses a significantly better QB rating of 101.3 with less interceptions which means more efficiency and more control of the game. Endowing his 22 touchdowns at 69.7 percent completion rate, the tool to overcome the defense is in his ability to create plays and he will need that to take advantage of the holes in the Falcon’s defense.

One of the most remarkable sights in the game will be the rivalry between the quarterbacks. With all his experience, he has to deal with an aggressive defense and be able to hit the deep throw. Daniels, on the other hand, is mobile and has good ball security, both of which could give the Falcons defensive plays some headaches. It could be a question of which quarterback comes out on top in terms of game management and which one takes better advantage of the collapse of the defensive structure.

Falcons’ Air and Ground Attack: Recent Wins Fuel Momentum

In the attacking unit of the Falcons, bolstered by Cousins, running back Bijan Robinson and receiver Darnell Mooney have made key contributions. Robinson adds a robust ground game standout with 1196 rushing yards accompanied by ten touchdowns that were notably on display in their recent victories over the Giants and the Raiders. Mooney with 955 receiving yards provides a very important deep pass threat. The key to this duo will be their ability to perform in clutch moments which will help devastate the defensive unit of the Commanders.

Commanders’ Offensive Strategy: Balanced Assault

A blend of Brian Robinson Jr. and Zach Ertz is crucial for the balanced offensive strategy of the Commanders. Robinson has been ruthless rushing for an impressive 729 yards while Ertz has served quite well in the red zone despite not being a yardage beast this campaign. Adding to this is the fact that they have recently edged past the Eagles and the Saints, displaying a knack for close quarter combat that should come in handy when they face off in this high-pressure encounter.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Trends

Atlanta are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta’s last 7 games.

Atlanta are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

Atlanta are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Washington.

Atlanta are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against Washington.

Washington Commanders Betting Trends

Washington are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington’s last 7 games.

Washington are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta.

Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Commanders Betting Previews

Merging the positional matchups together, analysis of both teams’ recent form and the expected playing time of key players, this game is going to be a close contested one. The current form of the Falcons coupled with the managed integration of their best players contends that all they need is to be able to cover the spread. With that said, the total points a team would score is always promising because of the two teams’ history of scoring in critical moments.

Covering the spread looks more promising for the Falcons and there are also coverage possibilities for props on Cousins and Robinson to score a touchdown. An over under will really matter in this case as the game will more than one hundred percent finish exactly on the over.

 

Score Prediction: Falcons 27, Commanders 24.  

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