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UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2, Latest Odds & Predictions (June 12, 2021)

UFC 263 Main Card Betting Odds & Expert Picks

The best UFC sportsbooks favor Israel Adesanya over Marvin Vettori at UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2. This is an upcoming mixed martial arts event produced by the Ultimate Fighting Championship. It will take place on June 12, 2021 at the Gila River Arena in Glendale, Arizona, United States.

The best online sportsbooks odds have Israel as the -265 favorite. Marvin is coming back as a +210 underdog. This means you would have to bet $265 to profit $100 on an Adesanya win while a $100 bet on a Vettori win would earn you $210.

Our best USA sportsbooks betting calculator informs us that Adesanya’s odds of -265 represent an implied win probability of 72.60%. Vettori’s +210 betting odds have an implied win probability of 32.26%.

UFC 263 Odds by MyBookie.ag

Marvin Vettori+200
Israel Adesanya-260

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Betting Marvin Vettori

The odds aren’t too far removed from the first time these two met in April 2018. “The Last Stylebender” was also the favorite at the best USA sportsbooks. He came in at –250. Vettori was the +200 underdog.

That fight ended in a split-decision win for Adesanya. This is a rare underdog spot for Vettori. The last time “The Italian Dream” was an dog was five fights ago in that match with Adesanya. He has been an underdog only twice in 10 UFC fights and lost both of those contests. He may not be the strongest dog in the yard.

How better has Marvin Vettori gotten since his first fight with Adesanya? The Italian Dream has had a tough time getting back in the cage since his first clash with the champ. He has won his only five fights but has had seven fights canceled due to opponents withdrawing.

Marvin has been dominant in those five wins. He has outstruck all but one opponent. He set a company middleweight record in his latest appearance with 11 takedowns. In their first encounter, Vettori caused troubled for Adesanya by constantly moving forward and countering immediately any time Israel threw a strike.

He employed a strategy similar to that of Kelvin Gastelum when he fought Adesanya. Rewatching the first fight, there was an argument for Vettori winning the first and third rounds, as one judge did score it.

It took until the third round for The Italian Dream to get his first takedown. That means he stood and survived in the striking game with the Last Stylebender for two rounds. One could argue that Vettori’s striking has improved, as has his conditioning and grappling. These improvements were fully evident in his previous fight.

Betting Israel Adesanya

The last time we saw Israel Adesanya, he was trying to become a two-division champ. He challenged Jan Blachowicz for the light heavyweight belt. He fought hard but eventually lost by unanimous decision.

Israel returns to the middleweight division where he is unbeaten at 20-0 with 15 KOs. He has made two title defenses.
The Last Stylebender is big for this division. He stands six-foot-four with an 80-inch reach. He uses that length well with accurately powerful punches. Adesanya also has a versatile skill set. He can batter his foes with his hands or punish them with his kicks.

Working on his jiu-jitsu game more as of late, Adesanya has challenged his opponents to take him down, which Blachowicz did three times with ease, as well as held him there. Adesanya has been fighting stiffer competition. His striking has been looking better.

Surely he has learned much from the first fight. Vettori is a bad matchup for Adesanya but he will have to ensure he doesn’t get too excited if he is successful in the early goings. Stay the course, go for some takedowns, and he could be crowned the new champion.

UFC 263 Vettori vs. Adesanya Pick

Marvin Vettori by decision.