Thursday Night Football Week 12 Odds: Colts vs. Texans Picks

Houston Texans Season Odds and Expert Predictions
  • by Cooper Mayer
  • November 19th, 2019
  • Category:

The Houston Texans are 3.5-point home favorites over the Indianapolis Colts, as the NFL betting sites spread goes for their Week 12 football game on November 21 at 7:20 p.m. CT at NRG Stadium.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans NFL Week 12 Odds by Xbet.ag

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Colts +3½ (-110) 45½ (-110) +170
Texans -3½ (-110) 45½ (-110) -200
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Betting Indianapolis Colts

The Colts snapped a two-game SU and three-game ATS losing streak, 33-13, against the Jags in Week 11. According to the best online sportsbooks, Indy entered that game as a 2.5-point home fave. Starting QB Jacoby Brissett went 15 of 24 for 148 yards with one TD and one pick, and was sacked three times. Running back Jonathan Williams had 147 all-purpose yards, 116 on the ground.

Fellow back Marlon Mack added 109 rushing yards and one TD. The Colts have the fourth-best rushing offense, gaining 141.1 yards on the ground per game. Conversely, Indy allowed Jax just 29 rushing yards. The Colts rank 9th in the league in run defense, allowing 96.8 yards per game.

In NFL betting sites trends, Indy is 4-1 ATS in their last five games after gaining more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game. And 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 Thursday games.

Mack “fractured his right hand against Jacksonville on Sunday, [and] underwent surgery Monday, according to Indianapolis coach Frank Reich. No timetable for Mack’s return has been given.

Without the services of Mack, who is fifth in the NFL in rushing with 862 yards, Indianapolis will use a combination of Jordan Wilkins and Jonathan Williams at running back, and Nyheim Hines will likely continue to see most of his action on third down and in passing situations, such as the two-minute drill,” reports Indy Star.com.

Betting Houston Texans

The Texans were destroyed 7-41 by the Baltimore Ravens as 4.5-point road dogs, per the NFL betting sites odds. Starting QB Deshaun Watson went 18 of 29 for 169 yards with one pick and was sacked six times. Wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins had 80 yards on seven receptions. A bad day for Houston’s 7th-ranked passing offense (380.2 yards per game).

Running back Carlos Hyde had 65 yards and one TD on nine carries. And Duke Johnson added 40 yards on six carries. Also an off-day for the Texans’ fifth-best in the league rushing offense. Houston allowed almost 500 total yards to their own 232. But that’s par for the course for the Texans’ mediocre defense.

Houston is 4-0 ATS in their last four games after accumulating fewer than 150 yards passing in their previous game. 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games after an ATS loss. And 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

“We moved the ball at times. Don’t get me wrong, we didn’t move the ball well, but we moved it at times. And we stubbed our foot and just poor plays and poor play-calling.

We just have to do a better job at that. We got behind, and it was 14-0.  Tried to stick with the run, but eventually, we had to try to throw the football to gain positive yards.  And we just couldn’t do much of anything today,” head coach Bill O’Brien said of the lopsided loss.

Indianapolis Colts vs. Houston Texans NFL Game Pick:

The Texans’ 13th-ranked run defense allows a little over 100 yards per game. However, they will get a reprieve with Mack’s absence. Houston’s usually efficient offense should be able to bounce back against Indy’s so-so defense. Take the Texans and the points.