Thanksgiving NFL Night Game Saints vs. Falcons Best Bets & Picks

New Orleans Saints Latest Odds and Predictions - NFL Betting Season
  • by Cooper Mayer
  • November 26th, 2019
  • Category:

The New Orleans Saints are 6.5 road favorites over the Atlanta Hawks, as the offshore gambling sites spread goes for their Week 13 NFL football game on November 28 at 8:20 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Odds by MyBookie.ag

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Saints -6½ (-110) 48½ (-110) -312
Falcons +6½ (-110) 48½ (-110) +253
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Betting New Orleans Saints

The Saints defeated the Carolina Panthers 34-31 in Week 12 as 10-point home faves. According to the best online sportsbooks, the Holy Ones did not cover the point spread. NOLA’s 24.7-point-per-game scoring offense (9th) has scored more than 30 points in four of the last five games. New Orleans’ 14th-ranked scoring defense allowed more than 30 points for the first time this season.

Starting QB Drew Brees went 30 of 39 for 311 yards with three TDs and one pick. Wide receiver ‘Philip’ Michael Thomas had 101 yards and one TD on 10 receptions. The Saints rank 9th in the league with 260.5 passing yards per game. New Orleans outgained Carolina 418 total yards to 351. But were bested on the ground 118 to 121 yards. Nevertheless, the Saints’ run defense remains 3rd in the NFL, allowing just 88.5 yards per game.

Let’s look at offshore gambling sites trends. New Orleans is 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after a straight up win. 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games playing a team with a losing home record. And 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after allowing over 350 total yards in their previous game.

“The Saints are expected to be without Pro Bowl left tackle Terron Armstead for Thursday’s game against the Atlanta Falcons. The Saints will also be without left guard Andrus Peat, who has been sidelined with a broken left arm for the past two games.

Without Armstead and Peat on the left side of the line, the Saints are projected to play Ethan Greenidge at left tackle and Nick Easton at left guard. Easton played all the snaps at left guard in Sunday’s win over the Carolina Panthers, filling in for Peat (a Pro Bowl guard in his own right),” reports CBS Sports.com.

Betting Atlanta Falcons

The Falcons lost 22-35 to Tampa Bay as 3.5-point home faves. Needless to say they did not cover the offshore gambling sites point spread. Atlanta’s point production was on par with their 19th-ranking scoring offense (22.0 points per game). The Falcons’ scoring defense dropped to 28th in the league after holding opponents to single digits in the previous two games.

Starting QB Matt Ryan went 23 of 46 for 271 yards with one pick and six sacks. Atlanta averages 298.5 yards through the air per game, which ranks them 3rd in the league. Running back Qadree Ollison led the team with 20 yards on the ground on eight carries. The Falcons next-to-last in rushing yards per game (72.9).

Atlanta is 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall. 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating fewer than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. And 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

“Like most things, we’re going to look at it,” head coach Quinn said of the offensive line. “If there are personnel moves to make, we’ll certainly be bold enough to do that. But, more often than not, it seems like it’s one [issue], but it’s usually [more]. I don’t think we played particularly well, offensively. [The offensive line] was the highlight, but there’s a lot of factors I thought that went into it.” If the Falcons’ O-line were a movie, it would be Waterworld. If you know what I mean. And I think you do.

New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 13 Pick

Atlanta has a similar problem as Dallas. They can pass for a million yards per game, but those yards are worthless if not converted to points. Moreover, whereas the Cowboys have a respectable defense, the Falcons do not. Take the Saints to cover and get sweet revenge.