The Texas A&M Aggies are 3.5 home favorites against the LSU Tigers, according to the best online sportsbooks. This will be the 57th meeting in this rivalry. The Tigers has won the last seven games in a row by a combined margin of 103 points. Or 14.7 points per game. As a matter of fact, TAMU has failed to beat LSU since the former joined the SEC. The Aggies’ run game has a tendency to suffer against the Tigers. However, Texas A&M hopes running back Trayveon Williams will change that. Williams has 1326 yards this season. He has rushed for 107, 228 and 167 yards in the last three games and scored six TDs in that span. TAMU ranks 39th in the country with 201.1 rushing yards per game. On the other hand, LSU ranks 31st against the run, allowing 130.7 yards on the ground per game.
It would take a somewhat unlikely concatenation of events, but the Tigers could theoretically still make the College Football Playoff. According to ESPN’s Dari Knowkah, LSU would have to beat TAMU. Then, Northwestern would have to win the Big Ten championship. And then Alabama would have to beat Georgia. Finally, Oklahoma would have to lose. Only one of those things is within the Tigers’ control. So you know they are going to do their damndest to defeat the Aggies. If anything, they could still secure a New Year’s Six Bowl.
If we look at the best online betting sites, LSU is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 conference games. In fact, the Tigers, and the Aggies are in an arms race to become the new Alabama. Sidestepping the fact, that there already is an Alabama, LSU is closer. For the simple reason, that head coach Ed Orgeron had a head start on his TAMU counterpart Jimbo Fisher. That LSU has progressed farther along should show on Saturday.
Betting Texas A&M
The Aggies defense looked uncharacteristically suspect against UAB last weekend. TAMU allowed the Blazers over 300 yards through the air. As well 10 third down conversions out of 16 attempts. Then again, better to have that happen versus UAB than LSU. Gives Coach Fisher a chance to smooth out those kinks. Speaking of Fisher, he has been labeled a fraud by Mac Engel of the Star Telegram. According to Engel, Fisher’s teams only succeed when he has an elite QB on his roster. Which would be the case had Kyler Murray not transferred to Oklahoma. But since he did, Kellen Mond will have to play his heart out against LSU.
LSU Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies NCAA Football Betting Preview
- Date: November 24
- Time: 6:30 p.m. CT
- Venue: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
Odds from BetOnline.ag:
- LSU +3½ (-115) 47½ (-110) +145
- Texas A&M -3½ (-105) 47½ (-110) -165
- Louisiana State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
- LSU is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
- Louisiana State is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
- Texas A&M is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
- Texas A&M is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M’s last 7 games
Our Pick: The Aggies have been near perfect at their own turf this season. According to the best online sportsbooks, TAMU is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS at Kyle Field this year. However, the Tigers have dominated the Aggies regardless of location. Per the best online betting sites, LSU is 7-0-1 ATS in the last eight encounters between these two schools. And 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings between these two programs in College Station. Methinks we’re getting free points with the better team here.