NFL Week 11 Betting Advice & Odds: Saints vs. Buccaneers

New Orleans Saints Latest Odds and Predictions - NFL Betting Season
  • by Cooper Mayer
  • November 16th, 2019
  • Category:

NFL betting sites have the New Orleans Saints as 5.5-point road faves over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in their Week 11 game on November 17 at 1:00 p.m. ET at Raymond James Stadium.

New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Week 11 Odds by MyBookie.ag

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Saints -5½ (-115) 49½ (-110) -240
Buccaneers +5½ (-105) 49½ (-110) +200
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Betting New Orleans Saints

The Saints had their six-game winning streak snapped by the Falcons, 9-26 in Week 10. The Holy Ones entered that game, according to the best online sportsbooks, as 14-point home chalk. Starting QB Drew Brees went 32 of 45 for 287 yards. Breesus was sacked six times. Wide receiver ‘Philip’ Michael Thomas had 152 yards on 13 receptions.

Running back Alvin Kamara had a meager 24 yards on four carries. This uncharacteristic showing dropped the Saints’ offensive averages to mediocre levels. Except in the passing yards per game category, where they remain in the top 10. The usually solid Big Easy run defense (5th in the league with 90.8 ypg) allowed 143 yards on the ground.

The Saints are, per NFL betting sites, 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. And 23-8 ATS in their last 31 road games. The under is 8-3 in the Saints last 11 road games.
“Last week, for the first time ever with Drew Brees under center at home, the New Orleans Saints didn’t score a touchdown. “Unacceptable,” Brees said bluntly on Wednesday, describing the loss. It’s one thing to lose a game.

Teams lose over the course of the season. It’s another to lay an egg at home against a division rival who had been left for dead on the side of the road, entering the game with one win on the season. “We were extremely disappointed in our performance,” Brees said, via The Times-Picayune. “I think we know we’re a lot better than that and understand that, especially at this point in the season, this is a time when we really want to start separating ourselves from the pack in a positive way and continuing to position ourselves to achieve the goals that we have set for this team,”” via NFL.com.

Betting Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The Bucs ended a four-game losing streak with a 30-27 win, in Week 10, over the Cardinals. According to NFL betting sites, Tampa Bay was favored by 5.5 points at home over Arizona. Starting QB Jameis Winston went 30 of 48 for 358 yards with one TD and two picks. He was sacked four times. Wide receiver Mike Evans had 82 yards on four catches.

The Bucs held the Cards to 75 rushing yards. That’s actually TB’s only saving grace defensively; their NFL-best run defense (77.8 yards allowed per game).
The Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. And 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall. The over is 4-1 in the Buccaneers’ last five home games.

“Evans hasn’t just bounced back since [Week 5’s game vs. the Saints], he’s been on an absolute tear. In the four games since the Bucs’ trip to Louisiana, he has 36 catches for 556 yards and three touchdowns. The Saints clearly rolled a lot of coverage in Evans’ direction in the first game, which helped free up Chris Godwin for 125 yards and two touchdowns; a very similar thing happened in Tampa Bay’s Week Two win at Carolina, in which Godwin had 121 yards and a key score.

Evans did snare the longest pass of that game, a 41-yarder that set up Godwin’s touchdown. He knows that defenses will pay extra attention to him on occasion but he just wants to make sure he takes advantage of any opportunities that he gets,” writes Buccaneers.com.

New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers NFL Game Pick

The Saints’ loss to the Falcons was a fluke. Brees should rebound against Tampa Bay’s terrible defense.