The Bills opened as 2.5-point road faves in Kansas City before they received enough betting action at NFL gambling sites to move up to Buffalo -3. The total in this matchup between AFC giants is set at 54 points after it opened at 53.5 points on the best online sportsbooks. The OVER is 4-2 in the last 6 games betwixt Buffalo and Kansas City.
The Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs clash in a week 6 NFL game at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday afternoon. The Buffalo Bills (4-1 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) are only 2-6 SU and ATS in their last 8 games versus the Kansas City Chiefs (4-1, 2-3). That includes last season’s 42-36 OT loss in the playoffs. The Bills will be trying to avenge that defeat this Sunday in Kansas City.
Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Odds by BetUs
|Bills||-3 (-105)||54 (-110)||-150|
|Chiefs||+3 (-115)||54 (-110)||+130|
Betting Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen passed for 348 passing yards and four passing TDs in just the first two-quarters of Buffalo’s 38-3 win against the Pittsburgh Steelers last Sunday. Allen ended the game with 424 passing yards and 42 yards on the ground.
Gabe Davis had 2 huge touchdown receptions in the victory. He racked up 171 receiving yards on only 3 catches. Davis hauled in 8 passes for 201 yards and 4 touchdowns when the Bills and Chiefs played in the AFC divisional playoffs last season.
According to NFL gambling sites, Buffalo is 9-2 SU and 7-2-2 ATS in its past 11 games going back to last season with a 3-2 SU and 2-2-1 ATS away record in that period. Buffalo’s past 2 road games came down to a field goal or less.
Both of these two teams have remarkable offenses, but the Bills have a clear advantage on defense with a bunch that is tied for 1st in the league in scoring defense. It also is ranked 2nd best in total defense. That advantage will most likely be what places Buffalo over the top should the team win on Sunday.
The Buffalo Bills will be looking to build up on straight wins following a 38-3 win against the Steelers and improve to 4-1 on the season as a result. Josh Allen has passed for 1,651 yards, 14 TDs and four interceptions on 66.8% completion.
He also leads the Bills on the floor with 225 rushing yards this year. Stefon Diggs is the leader of Buffalo’s receiving unit with 39 catches for 508 yards and five. Gabriel Davis has logged 309 receiving yards and three TDs as well this year.
Three other Bills have 100-plus receiving yards as well on the season. On the defensive side, Matt Milano has a team-best 29 total tackles. Von Miller and Greg Rousseau have a team-best four sacks each.
Betting Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City has surrendered at least 20 points in every one of its past ten games with an average of thirty points in its past 2 games. Those defensive issues are not likely to go away against this high-caliber Bills offense. It will be up to Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs offense to make enough points to win in a many-points game.
In Week four, the Chiefs got off to an early lead of 21-3 on the road versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They never did look back on their way to a 41-31 win. Kansas City went on a more difficult path to the win on Monday night.
They fell into an early 17-0 deficit at home versus the Las Vegas Raiders before they stormed back to win the contest 30-29. The Chiefs did improve to 4-1 SU on the year with the win but they fell to 1-3 ATS in their past 4 games after they failed to cover the point spread as a seven-point favorite at NFL gambling sites.
Patrick Mahomes finished the night with 29 completed passes on 43 pass attempts for 292 passing yards, 4 touchdowns and no picks. Travis Kelce was the target of all 4 touchdown passes in a showing that had a lot of impact on both money-line bettors as well as fantasy football players.
Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Pick
We get the case to be made in this one but we’re not sure where to look other than the over. KC’s offensive is alive and kicking. They should have a field day with a beat-up Bills secondary. Buffalo looked good against the Steelers and have more than enough firepower to go toe to toe with the Chiefs. Take the over.