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NFL Divisional Round Odds: Browns vs. Chiefs Betting Analysis, Expert Pick and Predictions

NFL Divisional Playoffs: Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs odds and picks

Top sports betting sites favor the home team by 10 points when the Cleveland Browns and the Kansas City Chiefs play on Sunday in NFL Playoffs action from Arrowhead Stadium. The Cleveland Browns shocked the world last weekend with their first postseason win in more than 25 years.

Getting a second will be a tall order. They clash tangle with Kansas City in an NFL divisional-round game. The Browns (12-5 SU, 7-10 ATS) are double-digit road dogs according to the best online sportsbooks. The Chiefs team (14-2 SU, 6-9-1 ATS) had the NFL’s best regular-season record.

Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Odds by BetUs

Browns+10 (-110)56½ (-110)+400
Chiefs-10 (-110)56½ (-110)-525
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Betting Cleveland Browns

The Dawgs are once again disfavored dogs at top sports betting sites. It wasn’t a pretty sight but Cleveland got off to a 28-0 first-quarter lead. They then held on by the skin of their teeth in a 48-37 wild-card win over the Pittsburgh Steelers.

That was the Browns’ first playoff win since 1995. The Browns won despite having issues with COVID-19. These issues left them without head coach Kevin Stefanski and Pro Bowl guard Joel Bitonio, among others.

Cleveland has won seven of nine but has covered just four times in that period. There’s reason to be optimistic, at least from a cover perspective. The Browns are 3-1 ATS in their last four road games. That includes a couple of SU wins as underdogs. Expect Cleveland to rely on the run game against a Chiefs team ranking 21st in run defense.

Betting Kansas City Chiefs

Top sports betting sites have the Chiefs as heavy chalk, as expected. The Browns will need a hell of lot more than five yards per carry to get through to the AFC championship game. They collide with a remarkable Chiefs offense.

Kansas City finished with the sixth-most points in the league this season. Their plus-111 point differential is No. 7 overall. The defending champions also led the NFL betting in passing offense at 303.4 yards per game.

There are many reasons for Browns backers to be optimistic here. The Chiefs had one of the worst ATS records of any team in the league. Each of their last seven regular-season wins was by six or fewer points. They’re also 1-4 ATS in their past five games as double-digit faves. This includes an SU 40-32 loss to Las Vegas at -10.5 on October 11.

Cleveland Browns vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Pick

The Browns are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games. And 9-26-2 ATS playing a team with a winning record. Cleveland is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 playing the AFC. The over is 5-1 in their last six against the AFC.

The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS in their last four following a straight-up loss. And 4-1 ATS in their last five playoff games. KC is 10-4 ATS playing a team with a winning record. And 1-4 ATS in the last five games as a home fave.

Let’s take the Chiefs here. This is something of an odd matchup. The Browns have been turning heads all season for the right and the wrong reasons. Cleveland bounced from a 23-16 loss to the Jets in Week 16 to a couple of convincing wins over the Steelers. As well as a spot in the Divisional Round.

With the defending champs enjoying some R&R, it is not sure the Browns will have what it takes to keep up. Then again, Cleveland was a lot of value for its upset win over Pittsburgh. And with Coach Stefanski coming back, and a full week of normal practice ahead, the Browns should make this one a much closer than bookies project.