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NFL Conference Predictions: Bills vs. Chiefs Betting Odds, Picks and Analysis

NFL Betting: Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs Picks and Odds
  • by Anthony Carpenter
  • January 19th, 2021
  • Category:

The best NFL gambling sites favor the home team when the Buffalo Bills and Kansas City Chiefs play on Sunday in the NFL AFC Championship at Arrowhead Stadium.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Odds by MyBookie.ag

Bills+3 (-110)54 (-110)+140
Chiefs-3 (-110)54 (-110)-160
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Betting Buffalo Bills

The Bills are field-goal road dogs according to the best online sportsbooks. The Buffalo Bills would advance to their first Super Bowl since 1993 with a win here. The Buffalo Bills have won three consecutive road games.

Josh Allen is completing 69.2% of his passes for 4,544 yards, 37 touchdowns and 10 picks. Allen has two or more TD passes in eight of his past 10 games. Stefon Diggs and Cole Beasley have a total of 2,502 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns.

Gabriel Davis has 35 recs. The Buffalo Bills are averaging 107.7 rushing yards per game. Devin Singletary has 687 yards and two touchdowns. Buffalo allows 23.4 points and 352.5 yards per game. Jordan Poyer has 124 tackles. AJ Klein has five sacks. Tre’Davious White has three interceptions.

Per the best NFL gambling sites, the Bills are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games. The total has gone O in 12 of Buffalo’s last 18 games. Buffalo is 8-0 SU in their last eight games. 1-4 ATS in their last five games against Kansas City. 1-4 SU in their last five games against Kansas City. 4-1 ATS in their last five games on the road. 5-1 ATS in their last six games when playing on the road against Kansas City. 5-0 SU in their last five games this season. And 9-0 SU in their last 9 games against an opponent in the American Football Conference. The total has gone O in nine of Buffalo’s last 13 games against the American Football Conference West division.

Betting Kansas City Chiefs

KC are slight home faves at the best NFL gambling sites. The Kansas City Chiefs would advance to their second straight Super Bowl with a win here. The Kansas City Chiefs have won five of their past six home games.

Patrick Mahomes is completing 66.3% of his passes for 4,740 yards, 38 touchdowns and six picks. Mahomes is questionable for this game as a result of a possible concussion. Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill have a total of 2,692 receiving yards and 26 touchdowns.

Mecole Hardman has 41 recs. The Kansas City Chiefs are averaging 112.4 rushing yards per game. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has 803 yards and four TDs. Kansas City allows 22.6 points and 358.3 yards per game. Daniel Sorensen has 91 tackles. Chris Jones has 7.5 sacks. Tyrann Mathieu has six interceptions. Kansas City is 0-8-1 ATS in their last nine games and 11-1 SU in their last 12.

Buffalo Bills vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Pick

The game and its odds depend greatly on the health of Mahomes. The Chiefs pretty much have no chance if Chad Henne has to start and win without a lead. The Chiefs laying points is indicative that Mahomes may be cleared to play.

But it’s not like the Bills are done for if Mahomes starts. The Bills are the hottest team right now. They have won each of their last eight games. They wouldn’t have lost since October 19 were it not for that Hail Mary.

The Bills have covered nine of their past 10 games. The Chiefs have not covered in eight of their last nine. When the Chiefs and Bills met in week six, Buffalo gave KC a run for its money. They only lost by nine points. The Bills are a much more efficient team now than them. Take the Bills and whatever points you can get.