Liberty Bowl Best Bet Prediction & Odds: Missouri vs. Oklahoma State
Sportsbook sites favor the Missouri Tigers to defeat the Oklahoma State Cowboys by nine points in the 60th Liberty Bowl. Mizzou finished fifth in the SEC East division with an 8-4 record (4-4 in conference play). Additionally, the Tigers split their ATS record, going 6-6 in the regular season. Their final game was a 38-0 shutout of Arkansas as 24-point home chalk. This will be Missouri’s second straight bowl appearance, under the guidance of head coach Barry Odom. It will also be their third AutoZone Liberty Bowl.
OSU finished ninth in the Big 12 with six wins and as many losses (3-6 in conference play). Likewise, the Cowboys went 6-6 ATS, according to the best online sportsbooks. Their regular season finale was a 24-31 loss to TCU as 5.5-point road faves. This will be OSU’s 13th straight bowl appearance and first AutoZone Liberty Bowl.
Starting QB Drew Lock has 25 TDs and eight picks on 3125 passing yards. He completes 63.2% of his attempts. Most of those completions go to Jonathon Johnson. He has 552 yards and four TDs on 50 receptions. This will be Lock’s final game as a Tiger. “If you think about your last game as a Tiger, you wouldn’t necessarily want 100, 200 people there,” he said of the Liberty Bowl. “I’d be grateful for the 100, 200 that were there, but it’s nice to be close, to be able to go out with a bang and have a lot of supporters there.”
Betting Oklahoma State
Starting QB Taylor ‘Dr.’ Cornelius has 28 TDs and 11 picks on 3637 yards through the air. He completes 59.3 of his passing attempts. Tylan Wallace has 11 TDs and 1398 yards on 79 grabs. Tyron Johnson has five TDs on 704 receiving yards. Justice Hill and Chuba Hubbard have 15 TDs on 1625 yards on the ground. Unfortunately for the Cowboys, Hill will miss the AutoZone Liberty Bowl. According to sportsbook sites, OSU went 5-5 SU and ATS in Hill’s 10 games this season.
Missouri Tigers vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys – Liberty Bowl Betting Preview
- Date: December 31
- Time: 2:45 p.m. CT
- Venue: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, TN (Liberty Bowl)
Lines from MyBookie.ag:
- MISSOURI -9 (-110) 74 (-110) -360
- OKLAHOMA STATE +9 (-110) 74 (-110) +300
- Tigers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game
- Missouri is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game
- Tigers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games in December
- Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game
- Oklahoma State is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games
- Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss
Our Game Prediction: The Cowboys lost running back Justice Hill to a rib injury. And with him, they lost his 93.0 yards per game and his 5.9 yards per carry. However, the Tigers might be short quite a few bodies as well. The consensus appears to be that sportsbook sites are giving us free points with the better team here. Hey, it’s not an exact science. If this confuses and disturbs you, relax, there’s an alternative. And in this case the alternative is the total, specifically the over. Both teams’ defense are very generous when it comes to surrendering yards. Mizzou ranks No. 104 with 256.1 yards allowed per game. And OSU is even worse, allowing 258.3 yards per game (107th). And both starting QBs are gunslingers. This is going to be a point orgy.
— Mizzou Football (@MizzouFootball) December 2, 2018