Cowboys vs. Patriots NFL Week 12 Betting Analysis, Spread and Picks

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  • by Cooper Mayer
  • November 23rd, 2019
  • Category:

The New England Patriots are 6.5-point home favorites over the Dallas Cowboys, as the offshore betting sites spread goes for their Week 12 NFL football game on November 24, 4:25 p.m. ET at Gillette Stadium.

Dallas Cowboys vs. New England Patriots NFL Week 12 Odds by MyBookie.ag

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Cowboys +6½ (-105) 45½ (-105) +245
Patriots -6½ (-115) 45½ (-115) -290
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Betting Dallas Cowboys

The Cowboys defeated the Detroit Lions 35-27 as, per the best online sportsbooks, seven-point home faves. Dallas averages 28.6 points per game (4th in the league). However, they have scored more than 35 points or more in three of their last four games. The Boys’ 7th-ranked scoring defense (19.7 ppg) has allowed more than 20 points in four of their last six. Starting QB Dak Prescott went 29 of 46 for 444 yards with three TDs. Michael Gallup and Randall Cobb combined for 263 receiving yards.

Prescott has been a man possessed lately. As a result, Dallas leads the league in passing yards per game (312.7). Running back Ezekiel Elliott disappointed again with 45 yards on 16 carries. Still, the team ranks 7th with 131.9 yards on the ground per game. Overall, the Cowboys have the best total offense in the NFL (444.6 yards per game). They outgained Detroit 509 to 312 total yards. On defense, Dallas ranks 7th in total, pass, and run defense.

In offshore betting sites trends, the Cowboys are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after gaining fewer than 90 yards rushing in their previous game. 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after gaining over 350 total yards in their previous game. And 5-2 ATS in their last seven games after gaining over 250 yards passing in their previous game.

“A win over New England would give the Cowboys the sort of jolt they received last season with their upset of New Orleans. Becoming the first opponent to leave Foxboro with a victory in the last 21 games would establish Dallas the way a win over Green Bay at Lambeau Field did in the rookie seasons of Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott,” says The Dallas Morning News.

Betting New England Patriots

The Pats returned from their bye with a 17-10 win over the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 11. As 4.5-point road favorites, the Patriots covered the offshore betting sports spread. New England is third in points per game (28.7). However, they failed to score more than 20 points for the first time since September 29.

The Pats boast the top scoring defense in the league and held Philly to their average of 10 points allowed per game. The Patriots also have a best total defense (249.9 yards per game) and second-best pass defense (152.6 yards per game).

Starting QB Tom Brady went 26 of 47 for 216 yards. Nonetheless, New England’s passing offense remains in the top 10 at 7th. Running back Sony Michel had an off-day with just 33 yards on 10 carries. The Pats’ rushing offense, which ranks 24th, was held to just 74 yards.

The Patriots are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing fewer than 15 points in their previous game. 18-7-2 ATS in their last 27 home games playing a team with a winning road record. And 42-17-2 ATS in their last 61 home games.

“I’m doing good,” Brady said. “We had a good couple days of practice. The football season, part of it is dealing with lots of different emotions, and you deal with the physical part, the mental part, but the emotional part is very important, as well. I always want to go out and play great. Sometimes when we don’t, it’s frustrating, but that’s football season.

And fortunately, we get a chance to go out there on Sunday and try to go up against one of the best teams in the NFL and find some rhythm on offense, score some points, and I think that would make all of us pretty happy.”

Dallas Cowboys vs. New England Patriots NFL Game Pick

The Cowboys are rolling, but if any defense can stop them, it’s the Pats’. Dallas’ defense, though, can hold its own as well. And the New England offense hasn’t been very Brady-like of late. I’m going to go on a limb and say Patriots win but Cowboys cover.