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Buffalo Bills at Cleveland Browns NFL Week 10 Betting Analysis & Pick

Cleveland Browns 2019 Betting Odds, Stats and Expert Predictions

The Cleveland Browns are 2.5-point home favorites over the Buffalo Bills, as the NFL betting sites spread goes for their Week 10 NFL football game on November 10 at 1:00 p.m. ET at FirstEnergy Stadium.

Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Odds by MyBookie.ag

Bills+3 (-115)40 (-110)+130
Browns-3 (-105)40 (-110)-150
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Betting Buffalo Bills

The Bills beat the Redskins 24-9 in Week 9 as, according to the best online sportsbooks, 10.5-point home chalk. Starting QB Josh Allen went 14 of 20 for 160 yards with one TD. Wide receiver John Brown had 76 yards on four receptions. Running back Devin Singletary had 95 yards and one TD on 20 carries. Rushing remains Buffalo’s offensive calling card, gaining 129.4 yards per game (11th in the league). Defensively, the Bills sacked opposing QB Dwayne Haskins four times. Buffalo ranks 3rd in scoring defense (16.4 ppg), total offense (296.2 ypg), and passing defense (184.6 ypg).

Let’s check some NFL betting sites trends. The Bills are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games. And 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The under is 16-5 in the Bills’ last 21 road games.

Buffalo is not as good defending the run as they are in the other defensive categories. “Buffalo’s run-stopping struggles actually cover the past four games in which the team has allowed 556 yards and six touchdowns. That’s a significant downturn for a defense that allowed just 338 yards and three touchdowns rushing in its first four games,” says Sports.Yahoo.com. “The Browns present a far more daunting test for Buffalo than an essentially one-dimensional Washington offense,” offering “a balanced attack featuring running back Nick Chubb, who’s fourth in the league with 803 yards rushing, and a receiving tandem of Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry, who have both topped 550 yards.”

Betting Cleveland Browns

The Browns lost to the Denver Broncos 24-19 in Week 9 as four-point road faves. That’s Cleveland’s fourth straight loss. As well as the fourth straight game they have not covered the NFL betting sites spread. And the second occasion out of those four when they were actually favored to win. Starting QB Baker Mayfield went 27 of 42 for 273 yards and one TD. He was sacked twice. Wide receiver Odell Beckham had 87 yards on five catches. Running back Nick Chubb had 65 yards on 20 attempts. The Browns scoring output was on par with their 25th-ranked scoring offense (19.0 points per game).

Cleveland is 9-23 ATS in their last 32 home games. And 0-6 ATS in their last six games on grass. The under is 16-7-1 in the Browns last 24 home games.

“I think people have this picture-perfect thing where it was going to be sunshine and rainbows and he was going to have a whole lot of one-on-ones,” Mayfield said. “It is Odell Beckham, he is going to have double coverage and we have to find ways to format things to get him the ball and force-feed him early on to where he can make an impact before we can have the perfect look to have a shot [at a] play. “That is something we have learned the hard way, but I think as the weeks have gone on, we are continuing to improve on how to get the ball to him.”

Buffalo Bills vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Week 10 Pick

The Browns have no business being favorites in any game, by any amount of points, neither at home nor away. Buffalo’s defense is too good for Cleveland’s craptastic offense to do any serious damage. And even if the Bills are themselves not very offensively proficient, they don’t really have to be. All they have to do is wait for the Browns to screw the pooch as they always do. Take the better – or less bad – team and the points.