Arkansas vs. LSU NCAA Football Betting Analysis and Predictions

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers College Football Betting odds, Picks
  • by Cooper Mayer
  • November 21st, 2019
  • Category:

The LSU Tigers are 43.5-point home chalk over the Arkansas Razorbacks, as the online betting USA spread goes for their November 23 NCAA football game at 6:00 pm CT at Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge, LA.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers Odds by Xbet.ag

Team SP/RL TOTAL ML
Arkansas +43½ (-110) 69 (-110)
LSU -43½ (-110) 69 (-110)
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Betting Arkansas Razorbacks

The Backs lost and failed to cover for the seventh and fifth straight time, respectively, in their latest outing. Arkansas fall 19-45 to Western Kentucky as one-point home faves, according to the best online sportsbooks. It was the fourth straight time this 122nd-ranked defense has allowed 45 points or more.

And the fifth straight time the Razorbacks’ 106th scoring offense scores fewer than 25 points. QBs KJ Jefferson and John Stephen Jones could not pass for 90 yards between the two. And threw one pick each. Arkansas averages 204.8 passing yards per game, which ranks them 90th in the country.

The lone bright spot on offense was running back Rakeem Boyd, who had 185 yards and two TDs on eight carries. The Razorbacks gain 148.7 rushing yards per game (84th). The defense allowed 478 total yards; 213 passing and 265 rushing. Arkansas’ total defense is 19th (446.7 yards allowed per game). Of which 225.4 come courtesy of a 123rd-ranked run defense.

And now for some online betting USA trends. The Razorbacks are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing over 450 total yards in their previous game. 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games after gaining more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. And 1-5 ATS in their last six games after scoring fewer than 20 points in their previous game.
One last thing going against Arkansas ahead of Saturday.

On November 10, 2019, one day after the loss to Western Kentucky, second-year head coach Chad Morris was shit-canned. Tight ends coach Barry Lunney, Jr. will finish the season as interim head coach. Though considering their record under Morris, perhaps this is one thing that’s going for them.

Betting LSU Tigers

The Tigers beat Mississippi 58-37 as 21.5-point road chalk last Saturday. This is what we in the online betting USA biz call a push. Starting QB Joe Burrow went 32 of 42 for 489 yards with five TDs and two picks. Wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase amassed 227 yards and three TDs on eight catches. Running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire had 172 yards and one TD on 23 carries.

LSU’s second-best-in-the-country total offense (556.0 yards per game) accrued 714 yards. Their scoring offense is also No. 2 with 47.8 points per game. And their passing offense is numero dos as well (390.3 yards per game).
On the downside, the Tigers defense allowed 614 total yards, including 402 rushing yards.

As a result, LSU’s total defense dropped to 47th (367.8 yards allowed per game). And their run defense ranks 33rd, allowing 130.8 yards per game. The Tigers 44th-ranked scoring defense allowed more than 35 points for the second straight game.

The Tigers are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. 14-6 ATS in their last 20 conference games. And 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Perhaps the LSU defense will improve with the return of linebacker Michael Divinity. He “returned to practice on Monday, two weeks after leaving the team for what coach Ed Orgeron described at the time as personal reasons.”

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. LSU Tigers NCAAF Game Pick:

But if their defense does not improve, there is no way in hell the Tigers can cover a 44-point spread. And that’s what it all comes down to.