The best gambling sites favor the champion to retain when Jermell Charlo becomes the next contender to challenge Canelo Alvarez for the undisputed super middleweight championship on September 30 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. The best online sportsbooks have Alvarez as a -435 favorite in this bout. This gives him the shortest odds he has had in years.
Canelo Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo Fight Odds by BetOnline
Betting Jermell Charlo
We cannot ignore Charlo’s increase in weight. He is jumping to 154 pounds in order to challenge Alvarez at 168 pounds. This puts him at a disadvantage. Weight differences aside, Charlo has a remarkably high fighting IQ.
In this bout Alvarez, he is going to need to take the initiative and pull the trigger with combos. Should he earn Canelo’s respect early in the match, we could see a change of momentum. Alvarez is cagey and likes to take his time, but if he starts going back and forth, expect Charlo to defend with the jab and then let go of that powerful left hook at Canelo’s chin.
Jermell Charlo, the current 154-pound champion, is boldly leaping up two weight classes to go mano a mano with Canelo Alvarez. The two boxers are 33 years old, they share the spirit of a warrior, but their road to this battle is very different.
Alvarez is an athlete with quick hands. He has translated his natural resilience and strong work ethic into a Hall of Fame-worthy career. He has continually evolved as a fighter. On the other hand, Charlo possesses superior athleticism and he has the eye of the tiger.
He has sharpened his skills with trainer Derrick James. He has become a knockout artiste in the years leading up to this moment. Still, even though Charlo may have the advantage in terms of natural athleticism, Alvarez has the discipline as well as the expertise to counter.
Betting Canelo Alvarez
Charlo is risking a lot by challenging Saul Alvarez in the super middleweight division. The difference in size is favorable to the Mexican in a variety of ways. First of all, Canelo’s rapid-twitch blows to the body will be more damaging.
In addition to that, his jabs and softer blows should pack a little more oomph. Don’t expect, however, Alvarez to swing away like crazy. He is going to win this fight the way that he wins every fight. He is going to glide in and out, and he is going to pick his shots.
Alvarez’s fastidious approach to his craft, which is illustrated by his control of the ring and punching precision, puts him in a class apart. His improvements in defense have bolstered his overall game. Charlo is explosive and his punching power is well known, but he also boasts technical skill.
His knack for dissecting opponents is a credit to his abilities and his flair for knockouts. In this respect, Alvarez has the edge as a result of his more inclusive boxing bag of tricks. As far as punching power is concerned, Alvarez is far from a one-punch knockout artist such as Deontay Wilder.
His nonstop attack and strong hands have resulted in many stoppages. Conversely, Charlo may have more pound-for-pound punching power, as was exemplified by his eight KO wins in his past nine fights. Then again, the challenge resides in the fact that Charlo has mainly fought opponents in the 154-pound division.
Meanwhile, Alvarez is a 168-pounder with outstanding durability. Thus, the advantage here belongs to Alvarez. Stamina is yet another factor that we have to consider. Alvarez’s nigh-20-year career is a credit to his toughness.
Possessing an extraordinarily solid chin, he has yet to be knocked down in 63 professional bouts. Charlo fell once in a fight with Charles Bellamy in 2014, but he has proven to be a strong, durable fighter. He can take punishment as well as dish it out.
Charlo has not fought a 168-pounder, and that could put his durability to the test in this contest. Once again, Alvarez has the advantage. If we assume that Alvarez is in good health and his recent underwhelming showings were because of an injured left wrist, the bout is leaning towards a good big man vs a good little man scenario. In such a case, the bigger fighter is the one who usually comes out on top.
Saul Alvarez vs. Jermell Charlo Pick
Our pick is Alvarez to win by decision. Until this bet stops paying us, we will remain aboard the Canelo gravy train, and so should you.