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Philadelphia Phillies (92-63) vs. New York Mets (86-69)

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets September 22 2024 – With the MBL season-ending, enthusiasts can imagine the Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets at it once more at Citi Field on a rather breezy Sunday night. The Phillies have a record of 92-63, while the Mets have managed to perform well with the extension of their record to 86-69. The clash’s outcome will influence the standings of the playoff battle, and it is already predicted that legal online sports betting will be active as there is a keen interest in how these teams will fare in their next game.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Game Info

When: Sunday, September 22, 2024, at 7:00 PM ET
Where: Citi Field
TV: ESPN
Stream: MLB.TV

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets September 22 2024 Betting Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Phillies -161 -1.5 (+113) 6.5 over (-128)
Mets +136 +1.5 (-137) 6.5 under (+100)

This game’s betting odds suggest a slight edge to the Phillies as favorites, which reflects their superior season record and their performance in recent matchups against the Mets. However, the Mets have been formidable at home, complicating any outright predictions. The total over 6.5 hints at expectations for some runs given recent scoring trends between these two.

Zack Wheeler (16-6, 2.56 ERA) vs. Tylor Megill (4-5, 4.08 ERA)

Zack Wheeler has carved himself a place in the Phillies’ pitching order parade with a record of 16-6 with a stupendous ERA of 2.56, thanks to a WHIP of 0.95. With 205 strikeouts in only 186.2 innings pitched, Wheeler has proven that he is more than capable sees how to attack and defeat opponents hence the elite status accolades. Given his quick smooth pitching motion, perhaps this is the answer that the Phillies have been looking for to silence the batters from the Mets.

In contrast, Tylor Megill offers a different story for the Mets. Owing to his ineffectiveness, phenomenally talented pitcher Megill has had this season with all the feeble efforts earning a win-loss record of 4 and 5 with rather high winning earned run average of 4.08 and evidences a weakness with a WHIP of 1.26, giving 28 walks. Ideally, however, they place a high price upon performance and they would therefore expect Megill to deliver and fight one of the toughest innings even played in any game against the Phillies who are constantly scoring.

In a Wheeler versus Megill matchup, the focus of the game may revolve around Wheeler striking hitters out or Megill getting ground balls and controlling the pace of the game. The two pitchers will have a huge effect on how their teams strategize, leading either to a highly charged pitcher’s battle or a sudden flurry of runs.

Phillies’ Power Surge

The Phillies boast a robust batting lineup with a .258 average and significant slugging at .425, powered by 189 home runs this season. Their offensive prowess is complemented by a solid pitching staff maintaining a 3.78 ERA. Their performance suggests a team that can both score and defend effectively, making them particularly dangerous in high-stake games. Their on-base percentage (OBP) at .326 further indicates their capability to get players on base and create scoring opportunities.

Mets’ Home Field Advantage

The Mets have also shown their strength, particularly at home where they have an 11-2 record in their last 13 games. With a slightly lower batting average of .248 compared to the Phillies, the Mets still manage to keep up the pace with 201 homers and a slugging percentage of .420. Their OBP of .322, coupled with their strategic walks (558 this season), showcases their ability to exploit pitching mistakes, which will be critical against Wheeler.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

Philadelphia are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

Phillies are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games against NY Mets.

Philadelphia are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games on the road.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Mets.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of Philadelphia’s last 12 games against an opponent in the National League.

New York Mets Betting Trends

The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’ last 5 games.

NY Mets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’ last 6 games against Philadelphia.

NY Mets are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games at home.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets’ last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Previews

The showdown between the Mets and the Phillies seems to be one of the most interesting baseball games of the season. Looking at the present odds and the performance of both teams in the season, the projection of the Phillies over the Mets appears quite feasible as the offensive and pitching departments are clinically sound though slightly favored. On the contrary, all factors considered, the Mets have not only a solid home record but have won most of their games lately making it easier for them, more so with the fans backing them up.

Considering the recent trends for both teams to beat the total of the game, it would not be a bad idea to place a bet on the over in this contest. Today’s MLB free prediction the Philadelphia Phillies are expected to win against the Mets, including over 6.5 runs.

 

Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 3. 

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