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New York Yankees (94-68) vs. Cleveland Guardians (92-69)

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians October 18 2024 – As games heated up during the postseason period, Game 4 of the ALCS series will feature the Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees, to be played on October 18, 2024, in Progressive Field. Winning two games and losing one, the Yankees are in a position to go even one step closer to the World Series. The Guardians will be looking to fight back and win in front of their fans and get everything back on track. Given those Pacific Division teams, this will surely be an exciting game among the key moments in the latest MLB postseason previews.

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians October 18 2024 Game Info

When: Friday, October 18, 2024 at 8:08 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field
TV: TBS 
Stream: MLB.TV

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Odds

Team Moneyline Spread Total
Yankees -123 -1.5 (+139) 7.5 over (-114)
Guardians +105 +1.5 (-172) 7.5 under (-114)

The betting odds suggest a tight contest, with the Yankees slightly favored. The spread indicates a belief in New York’s ability to win by at least 2 runs, while the Guardians are seen as capable of keeping the game close. Given the trends and stakes, bettors might find value in the Yankees’ moneyline or the under on total runs, considering the performance of both teams’ pitchers and recent scoring patterns.

Luis Gil (15-7, 3.50 ERA) vs. Gavin Williams (3-10, 4.86 ERA)

This season, Gil Luis has been one of the most reliable pitching arms for the Yankees, with a record of 15-7 and an ERA of 3.50. He pitched around base hits and amassed an impressive 171 strikeouts in 151.2 innings – all while staying disciplined on the mound with a low WHIP of 1.19 in the postseason. Gil’s fastballs and sliders may particularly challenge the Guardians, who, on most occasions get overpowered on high velocity pitching.

On the other side, Gavin Williams of the Guardians still looks rough around the edges with a 3-10 record and an ERA of 4.86, but he at least has a decent strikeout count of 79 in 76 innings, which is above average. What he does have working against him would be his high walk rate, which could create issues against a disciplined Yankees lineup. Williams’ biggest opportunity to succeed in Game 4 would be pitch economy to avoid easy fatigue and early exits.

This pitching duel sets the stage for an intriguing game. The Yankees get the edge over the Guardians mainly because of their mountainous experience in the playoffs from Gil. On the other hand, Williams adds unpredictability and has him relative improvement throughout his rookie season. Their performances will be important in defining the outcome with more tilt towards the Yankees, giving them a strategic advantage.

Bronx Bombers’ Power Surge: Yankees’ Statistical Insight

The Yankees’ offense this season has been formidable, highlighted by a .248 batting average and an impressive 237 home runs. Their slugging percentage of .429 underlines their ability to get extra-base hits, which will be crucial in putting pressure on the Guardians’ pitchers. The Yankees’ ability to draw walks (533) also sets them up for scoring opportunities, especially in high-stakes games where every run counts.

Guardians at the Plate: A Tactical Analysis

The Guardians, on the other hand, have had a modest offensive output with a .238 batting average and 185 home runs. Their on-base percentage (.307) and slugging (.395) are lower than the Yankees, suggesting fewer scoring opportunities. However, their disciplined approach at the plate and speed could turn the game in their favor, especially if they can exploit any mistakes by the Yankees’ pitchers.

New York Yankees Betting Trends

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees’ last 6 games.

NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Cleveland.

Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road.

NY Yankees are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games when playing on the road against Cleveland.

Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland’s last 8 games against NY Yankees.

The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Cleveland’s last 18 games at home.

Cleveland are 6-13 SU in their last 19 games when playing at home against NY Yankees.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 6 games against an opponent in the American League.

New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Betting Previews

Based on the analysis of odds and the pattern of bets, it is very likely that the Yankees will win this encounter. They also have an impressive batting order lineup and some good pitching over that on the Guardians. In terms of a close game, it seems fair to assume that there’s value in taking the under on total runs scored due to the nature of the pitchers involved and the situation.

There are plenty of opportunities for those interested in betting to place money on the Yankees money line and try the over/under on the total number of strikeouts and total bases for the Yankees. When looking for reputable betting sites, check if they offer competitive odds and have extensive market coverage for effective betting.

Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Guardians 3.  

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